Royals vs Tigers Prediction 5/30/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Royals vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 30th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 30-27 this year after they lost two out of three against the Reds by scores of 4-7, 2-7, and 3-2. In their game three win, Kansas City had their lead cut to 2-1 in the sixth inning, but they added a run in the seventh to secure the win. The Royals recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Witt Jr., who went 1-3 with two RBIs in the win. KC started Cameron, who allowed six hits and one earned run over 6.1 innings for the win, while Estevez picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Royals lost two out of three against the Twins, but did win two out of three against the Giants before that. Kansas City has lost four of its last six games, and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.15 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 188 runs with a .246 batting average and a .301 on-base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with eight home runs and 30 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added five home runs and 30 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Seth Lugo, who is 3-4 with a 3.02 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 56.2 innings pitched this year. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 37-20 this season after they swept the Giants in three games by scores of 3-1, 3-1, and 4-3. In their game three win, Detroit trailed 3-0 in the fifth inning, but they scored the last four runs to escape with the win. The Tigers recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Keith and Malloy, who both had two RBIs in the win. Detroit started Jobe, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Hanifee picked up the win and Kahnle got the save. 

Prior to that series, the Tigers lost three out of four against the Guardians, but did win two out of three against the Cardinals before that. Detroit has won four games in a row, and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.22 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 288 runs with a .252 batting average and a .325 on-base percentage this season. Spencer Torkelson has led Detroit with 13 home runs and 40 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added 12 home runs and 38 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Casey Mize, who is 6-1 with a 2.45 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 47.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Royals

• The Royals have lost each of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have won each of their last 12 games as road favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Royals.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road games.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Sixteen of the Royals’ last 17 night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Tigers’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last nine night games at Kauffman Stadium.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Tigers’ last nine games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Double in three of the Royals’ last four games as home underdogs against AL opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals’ last five home games against AL Central opponents.
• Seth Lugo has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six Friday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Royals’ last five home games against the Tigers.
• Maikel Garcia has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last eight games as underdogs.
• Maikel Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 13 games.
• Mark Canha has hit a home run in three of his last six appearances against the Tigers after not playing the previous day.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (20) this season.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last two road games against AL Central opponents.
• Colt Keith has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances with the Tigers as favorites.
• Colt Keith has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances with the Tigers as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
• Casey Mize has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
• Gleyber Torres has scored a run in each of the Tigers’ last five games.
• Casey Mize has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
• Jake Rogers has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances at Kauffman Stadium.
• Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games.
• Casey Mize ranks T6th in the league for Wins (6) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Royals rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (33).
• The Royals rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (398).
• The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (20).
• The Tigers rank 4th in the league for runs scored this season (288).

Royals vs Tigers Prediction 

Detroit comes into this matchup looking for its fifth win in a row, but its offense has struggled at the plate over the last seven games. The Tigers are 16-12 on the road this year, while the Royals are 18-11 at home. Kansas City is coming off a series loss to Cincinnati, and they have one of the lowest scoring lineups in the league. Detroit is starting Mize, who has allowed one earned run in four of his last five starts. KC is going with Lugo, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, but is coming off the IL. Neither offense has been great recently, and Mize has looked very strong, so I will back the Tigers here.