Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Prediction 9/10/26 MLB Picks Today

The Texas Rangers and the Seattle Mariners meet Thursday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Texas Rangers will send out Jacob deGrom for the start here and deGrom is 10-9 with a 3.96 ERA and 174 strikeouts this season. Logan Gilbert will start for Seattle and is 11-9 with a 3.71 ERA and 176 strikeouts this season.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to rebound from a 3-2 loss at the hands of Seattle last time out to sit at 72-74 this season. After this series, the Rangers will head on the road for a series against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Rangers Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Brandon Nimmo has 139 hits with 31 doubles, 4 triples, 14 home runs and 58 RBIs while Jake Burger has 118 hits with 21 doubles, 25 home runs and 82 RBIs. Corey Seager has 70 hits with 14 doubles, 15 home runs and 38 RBIs. Evan Carter also has 68 hits with 13 doubles, 9 home runs and 35 RBIs while Josh Jung has 104 hits with 23 doubles, 9 home runs and 35 RBIs as well on the year.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to add on to their win over Texas last time out to sit at 68-78 this season. After this series, the Mariners will head on the road for a series rematch against the A’s.

Mariners Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Luke Raley has 15 home runs and 39 RBIs this season. Cole Young’s added 127 hits with 17 doubles, 3 triples, 16 home runs and 58 RBIs and Cal Raleigh has 71 hits with 12 doubles, 21 home runs and 59 RBIs as well this season. Randy Arozarena has 138 hits with 28 doubles, 22 home runs and 66 RBIs as well on the year. Josh Naylor also has 140 hits with 20 doubles, 10 home runs and 49 RBIs as well on the year. Julio Rodriguez has also added 127 hits with 21 doubles, 20 home runs and 61 RBIs.

Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners Betting Trends: September 10, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Gilbert      Record this season: 11-9      ERA: 3.71
• Home Record: 8-5
• Last 5 against Rangers: 0-2

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won each of their last six day games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have lost 19 of their last 21 games at T-Mobile Park against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in five of their last six day games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in 17 of their last 20 games at T-Mobile Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob deGrom      Record this season: 10-9      ERA: 3.96
• Road Record: 3-7
• Last 5 against Mariners: 1-1

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Mariners have lost each of their last four games as favorites against AL opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have won six of the Rangers’ last seven games.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Rangers’ last seven games.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against AL opponents following a win.
• The Rangers have won the first inning in five of their last six games against the Mariners.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Mariners.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Rangers’ last eight games as underdogs against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Mariners’ last seven day games against AL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the last nine games between the Rangers and Mariners.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in four of the Rangers’ last five road games.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in five of his last 11 appearances after playing the previous day.
• Logan Gilbert has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last eight games against the Rangers.
• Logan Gilbert has recorded a win in six of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of the Rangers’ last four games as underdogs.
• Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
• Jacob deGrom has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Justin Foscue has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last seven games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mariners rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (577).
• The Mariners rank 30th in the league for hits this season (1108).
• The Rangers rank 26th in the league for runs scored this season (607).
• The Rangers rank T26th in the league for steals this season (69).

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction

I’m on the over in this game. deGrom and Gilbert have not been as consistent as we’re used to them being in recent years and I think this is another spot for that to show through here. These two offenses fell a bit flat on Wednesday but I think we get a higher-scoring game here. Give me the over.