St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 6-28-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 28th at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Cardinals Trying to Catch the Brewers

The St. Louis Cardinals are 41-39 this year and they have won five of their last seven games. St. Louis dropped game one in this series and they allowed 11 runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Cardinals won two out of three against the Braves, swept the Giants in three games, and lost two out of three against the Marlins. St. Louis is 10-5 in their last 15 games and they are second in the NL Central. 

The St. Louis pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 321 runs with a .240 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Alec Burleson is batting .285 with 12 home runs and 36 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season. St. Louis has scored at least five runs in five of their last ten games. 

Reds Going for Two Straight 

The Cincinnati Reds are 38-43 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Cincinnati won the first game in this series by a score of 11-4 on Thursday night. Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Pirates, lost two out of three against the Red Sox, and lost two out of three against the Pirates. Cincinnati has not won back to back games in their last 12 games and they are fourth in the NL Central. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 349 runs with a .230 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .255 with 14 home runs and 36 RBI’s for the Reds this season. Cincinnati has allowed at least four runs in six straight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Andre Pallante, who is 3-3 with a 5.23 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP over 32.2 innings pitched this year. Pallante has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five starts, but has allowed 11 earned runs in the other two outings in that span. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Frankie Montas, who is 3-5 with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 66.1 innings pitched this year. Montas has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five starts. 

Why the Cardinals will beat the Reds

• The Reds have lost each of their last eight night games against the Cardinals following a win.
• The Cardinals have won 12 of their last 13 night games against the Reds following a loss.
• The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last six games at Busch Stadium following a loss.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Cardinals following a win.

Why the Reds will beat the Cardinals

• The underdogs have won five of the last six games between the Reds and Cardinals.
• The Cardinals have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
• The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Reds’ last nine games.
• The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as underdogs.
• The Reds have won the first inning in each of their last three games as underdogs.
• The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in 13 of their last 19 games as home favorites against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Cardinals’ last 11 games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Reds’ last seven games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last five games at Busch Stadium.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last five games as favorites.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Nolan Arenado has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against the Reds.
• Brendan Donovan has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
• Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Cardinals’ last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brendan Donovan has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Cardinals’ last seven games as favorites.
• Willson Contreras has scored at least one run in each of his last 10 appearances with the Cardinals as favorites.
• Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last 16 games at Busch Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.
• Tommy Edman has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in each of the Reds’ last five games.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last six road games against the Cardinals.
• Jonathan India has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Reds’ last seven games.
• Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last seven games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Frankie Montas has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
• Jonathan India has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last nine games.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Jeimer Candelario has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Elly De La Cruz ranks 1st in the league in Steals (38) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The St. Louis Cardinals rank 27th in the league for RBI’s this season (301).
• The St. Louis Cardinals rank 26th in the league for runs scored this season (321).
• The Cincinnati Reds rank 1st in the league for steals this season (114).
• The Cincinnati Reds rank 28th in the league for hits this season (607).

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 

The Reds were able to pick up a nice win in game one of this series on Thursday night, but they have struggled to string wins together recently. The Reds are 18-20 on the road, while St. Louis is 22-17 at home. The Cardinals have been one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last couple of weeks and they have moved up to second in the division. I really don’t care for either one of these starting pitchers and I think we are going see plenty of runs scored. My St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds prediction is for this game to go over the total.