Cincinnati Reds (15-12) vs. Texas Rangers (14-14)
April 28, 2024 2:35 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Rangers -123 / Cincinnati Reds +105; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cincinnati Reds and Texas Rangers meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Globe Life Field. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Texas Rangers prediction.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 15-12 this season and play the Padres after this game. The Cincinnati Reds have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The Cincinnati Reds have won 6 straight games when scoring more than 1 run. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 26 hits and 18 RBI while Spencer Steer and Christian Encarnacion-Strand have combined for 44 hits and 35 RBI.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers look to get above a .500 record before taking on the Nationals next. The Texas Rangers have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Texas Rangers have lost 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Marcus Semien leads the Texas Rangers with 30 hits and 20 RBI, while Adolis Garcia and Josh Smith have combined for 53 hits and 36 RBI.
Cincinnati Reds vs Texas Rangers Pitching Matchup
Andrew Abbott gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 1-2 with a 2.60 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. Abbott has allowed 8 earned runs in 27.2 innings this season, which results in a top-25 ERA in MLB. However, Abbott has walked 7 batters in his last 10.1 innings, so it’s something to watch. This will be Abbott’s first career game against the Texas Rangers.
Dane Dunning gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 2-2 with a 4.61 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. Dunning has allowed 14 earned runs in 27.1 innings, and he has 16 walks to go with 29 punch outs. Dunning has been up and down, and he has a 5.73 ERA in 11 home innings. This will be Dunning’s second career game against the Cincinnati Reds.
Texas Rangers Team Facts
- The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Reds and Rangers.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against National League opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Team Facts
- The Reds have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Rangers.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Rangers.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against the Rangers.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last six day games.
Cincinnati Reds vs Texas Rangers prediction
The Texas Rangers are the better team overall, and them being at home doesn’t hurt. However, we’re getting plus money with Abbott on the mound and to fade Dunning. Abbott has had issues with his control lately, but he’s been a great pitcher through 27.2 innings overall and deserves a look in the underdog role. Dunning has been far more hittable this season, and most of his struggles have come at home. The value is with the Reds and the slightly more favorable price. Give me the Reds on the road.
