Baltimore Orioles (39-20) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (28-32)
June 5, 2024 7:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -137 / Baltimore Orioles +116; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays meet Wednesday in MLB game 3 action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 39-20 on the season after wins over the Red Sox and Rays. The Baltimore Orioles have scored 20 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 10 of their last 13 games. The Baltimore Orioles have won 9 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Adley Rutschman leads the Baltimore Orioles with 71 hits and 40 RBI, while Gunnar Henderson and Ryan Mountcastle have combined for 122 hits and 71 RBI.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 28-32 on the year after wins over the White Sox and Pirates. The Toronto Blue Jays have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The Toronto Blue Jays have lost 3 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 68 hits and 27 RBI, while Bo Bichette and Isiah Kiner-Falefa have combined for 99 hits and 42 RBI.
Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Pitching Matchup
Albert Suarez gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 2-0 with a 1.57 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. Suarez has allowed 10 runs and 2 earned runs in his last 19 innings. Suarez has a 0.57 ERA and .140 allowed batting average in 15.2 road innings. Suarez is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 2 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Jose Berrios gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 5-4 with a 2.78 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. Berrios has allowed 31 hits and 16 runs in his last 30.2 innings. Berrios has a 1.60 ERA and .208 allowed batting average in 33.2 home innings. Berrios is 10-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 80 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Orioles have lost each of their last seven Wednesday games at Rogers Centre.
- The Blue Jays have won nine of their last 10 Wednesday night games against the Orioles.
- The favorites have covered the run line in 10 of the Orioles’ last 12 games.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line each of their last five Wednesday games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Wednesday games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Jose Berrios has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against the Orioles.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Blue Jays’ last four games as favorites against AL opponents.
- George Springer has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Blue Jays’ last five games against AL opponents.
- George Springer has scored at least one run in each of the Blue Jays’ last five night games.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight games against the Orioles.
- Jose Berrios has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Justin Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against the Orioles.
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against AL East opponents.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.389) this season.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Anthony Santander has hit at least one home run in each of the Orioles’ last two games as underdogs against the Blue Jays.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded a Double in three of the Orioles’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Single in 12 of the Orioles’ last 13 road games against AL opponents.
- Austin Hays has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 road appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Austin Hays has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 18 road appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Cedric Mullins has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with the Orioles as underdogs against the Blue Jays.
- Cedric Mullins has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL East opponents.
- Gunnar Henderson ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (19) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (429).
- The Toronto Blue Jays rank T28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (79).
- The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.446).
- The Baltimore Orioles rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (91).
Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
The Baltimore Orioles in the underdog role is attractive when you consider how consistent they’ve been this season. The Toronto Blue Jays have underachieved up to this point, and them as favorites isn’t a spot that gets me excited. However, Jose Berrios has been terrific at home this season, and he’s absolutely owned the Orioles throughout his career. Through 15 games against the Orioles, Jose Berrios is 10-1 with an ERA under 3 against the Orioles. I’ll side with history. Give me the Blue Jays and the reasonable price.
