Twins vs Brewers Prediction 8/9/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, August 9^th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers have a 73-44 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 40-22 home record and are coming off a 4-3 home win against the Twins. They will face the Padres and the Dodgers next.

The Milwaukee Brewers have a .253 batting average this season, .336 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the team’s best hitter with a .274 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 74, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 20 home runs.

Jacob Misiorowski (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 11-5 record, 1.63 ERA and 0.73 WHIP.

Minnesota Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins have a 58-60 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL Central. They have a 28-33 away record and are coming off a 3-4 road loss against the Brewers. They will face the Orioles and the Phillies next.

The Minnesota Twins have a .244 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .406 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 4.60 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Luke Keaschall is the team’s best hitter with a .265 batting average. Josh Bell leads the team in RBI with 68, while Byron Buxton adds a team-high 25 home runs.

Connor Prielipp (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins, and he has a 3-5 record, 4.75 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.

Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: August 9, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski      Record this season: 11-5      ERA: 1.63
• Home Record: 6-1
• Last 5 against Twins: 1-0

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Twins have lost 10 of their last 11 road games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Brewers have won 15 of their last 17 games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in nine of their last 11 day games against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Twins have lost the first inning in each of their last six games against National League opponents.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five road day games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Connor Prielipp      Record this season: 3-5      ERA: 4.75
• Road Record: 0-3
• Last 5 against Brewers: 0-1

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
• The road team has won 11 of the last 14 games between the Twins and Brewers.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Twins’ last 11 games.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Brewers’ last nine games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Twins’ last five day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Twins’ last eight games against National League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Brewers’ last nine day games against AL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Christian Yelich has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Jacob Misiorowski has recorded 10+ strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in day games.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Brewers as favorites against the Twins.
• Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st in the league for total Strikeouts (195) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Luke Keaschall has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last two day games.
• Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (107).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (482).
• The Twins rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.60).
• The Twins rank 26th in the league for runs allowed this season (584).

Twins vs Brewers Prediction

The Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 meetings against the Twins and have won two of their last three meetings in Milwaukee.

In this Twins vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -250 home favorites. I like the Brewers in this one with Jacob Misiorowski, who has been the best pitcher in baseball this season with a 1.63 ERA and 0.73 WHIP. Connor Prielipp has been bad on the road with a 0-3 record and 6.56 ERA, while the Twins have a weaker bullpen and have been struggling mightily against right-handed pitching in their last 5 games, with just 1.8 runs per game. Take the Brewers on the runline in this one.