Twins vs Rays Prediction 5/28/25 MLB Picks Today

The Minnesota Twins are visiting the Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday, May 28^th at the George M. Steinbrenner Field in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1 wins. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction. We will examine:

The Tampa Bay Rays’ recent form and player performance

The Minnesota Twins’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tampa Bay Rays

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Minnesota Twins

Recent betting trends in games played between the Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays game

Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays have a 27-27 record this season and are sitting in second place in the AL East. The Rays have a 17-19 home record and are 20-31 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-4 home defeat by the Twins and saw their six-game winning streak get snapped. Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games and are playing the Astros and the Rangers next.

The Rays have a .244 batting average this season, a .308 OBP, and a .377 slugging percentage. Tampa’s pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA and 1.19 WHIP.  Jonathan Aranda leads the Rays with 50 hits and is the team’s best hitter with a .309 batting average. Yandy Diaz leads the team in RBI, with 29.

Drew Rasmussen (R) will take the mound for the Rays, and he has a 3-4 record, 2.60 ERA, and 1.00 WHIP. He has been slightly better at home with a 2.500 ERA across seven home starts, and he is coming off back-to-back shutout starts, in 12 innings pitched against the Blue Jays and the Marlins. In his only start against the Twins back in 2022, he gave up 4 runs in 4.1 innings of work.

Minnesota Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins have a 30-24 record this season and are sitting in third place in the AL Central. The Twins have a 12-16 road record and are 18-31 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-2 road victory over the Rays, ending their previous two-game losing streak. Under is 7-2-2 in their last 11 games and are playing the Orioles and the Tigers next.

The Twins have a .237 batting average this season, a .306 OBP, and a .379 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 3.25 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Ty France leads the Twins with 48 hits and a team-high 30 RBI. Byron Buxton leads the team in home runs, with 10, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .261 batting average.

Pablo Lopez (R) will take the mound for the Twins, and he has a 4-2 record, 2.31 ERA, and 0.97 WHIP. He has been even better on the road with a 1.55 ERA across five road starts, and he has been in excellent form lately, with just one earned run in 11.2 innings pitched in his last two starts. Pablo López is 2-3 with an ERA of 4.05 and 47 strikeouts in 8 appearances versus the Rays in his career.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last eight games as favorites against the Twins.
• The Twins have lost three of their last four day games following a win.
• The Rays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games following a loss.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against American League opponents.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road day games.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against American League opponents.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Twins have won each of their last seven games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Rays have lost nine of their last 10 games against AL Central opponents.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 14 Wednesday games as home favorites.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rays’ last four day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Twins’ last 12 road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Rays’ last 13 day games against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Twins’ last six games as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rays rank T1st in the league for steals this season (73).
• The Rays rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (152).
• The Twins rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (130).
• The Twins rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (185).

Twins vs Rays Prediction

The Rays are 5-3 in their last 8 meetings against the Twins, and are 3-2 in their last 5 meetings in Tampa. Under is 6-2-2 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Twins vs Rays Prediction, both teams are coming at a pick ’em price. The Twins have a better overall record, but they have been struggling on the road, and the Rays are below average at home. Both starting pitchers are looking sharp, with a combined 4.91 ERA, and both teams have top-6 bullpen ERAs this season. Both teams have also been playing lower-scoring games lately, as they are 14-4-3 to the under in their last 21 games combined, and the under is 6-2-2 in their last 10 meetings. I expect another low-scoring affair, so take the under 8 in this one.