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Washington Nationals vs LA Dodgers Prediction 4-23-24 Picks

LA Dodgers (13-11) vs. Washington Nationals (10-11)
April 23, 2024 6:45 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Nationals +188 / LA Dodgers -208; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Washington Nationals meet Tuesday in MLB action from Nationals Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals prediction.

Los Angeles Dodgers Team Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to build some momentum after avoiding a series sweep at the hands of the New York Mets in Sunday’s series finale. An 8-run 5th inning proved to be the straw that broke the camel’s back as the Dodgers only scored in two innings in the blowout. Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with 35 hits and a .368 batting average along with a team-high 11 doubles, 5 homers and 13 RBIs. Mookie Betts also has a team-high 6 home runs and 19 RBIs while Teoscar Hernandez has 5 home runs with 19 RBIs of his own. Ohtani and Betts each have a team-high 5 stolen bases as well this season. James Paxton is slated to get the start for the Dodgers here and is 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. In his career, Paxton is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA and 4 strikeouts against Washington.

Los Angeles Dodgers Team Facts

  • The Dodgers have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Tuesday night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last four night games at Nationals Park.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 7 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals Team Preview

The Washington Nationals come into this series off of a series victory over the Houston Astros, winning Sunday’s rubber match by a final score of 6-0. Washington jumped out to a 3-0 1st inning lead and never looked back as Mitchell Parker had his second straight dominant showing in as many big league starts. Jesse Winker leads the Nationals with 22 hits while CJ Abrams has a team-high 6 home runs, 3 triples, 4 doubles and 12 RBIs with 22 hits as well. Lane Thomas also has 10 RBIs and 10 stolen bases while Joey Gallo has 3 home runs, 5 doubles and a team-high 34 strikeouts. Trey Lipscomb has 4 stolen bases and Luis Garcia Jr. has a team-high 7 doubles and 5 stolen bases of his own. Patrick Corbin will get the start for the Nationals here and is 0-3 with an 8.06 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. In his career, Corbin is 5-13 with a 4.55 ERA and 115 strikeouts against the Dodgers.

Washington Nationals Team Facts

  • The Nationals have lost each of their last 10 home games against the Dodgers following a win.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against the Dodgers following a win.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight Tuesday home games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven games between the Dodgers and Nationals.
  • The Nationals have led after 3 innings in five of their last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Dodgers vs Nationals Prediction

I’m on the Dodgers here. I know the value is squarely on the Nationals after they already won a series with Los Angeles earlier this season and come in off of their series win over Houston. However, Corbin is easily the weak link of this Nationals’ rotation as he’s been batting practice for opposing teams more often than not and in his last five starts against the Dodgers, he has an ERA above 10. Paxton isn’t a world-beater by any stretch, but he is good enough here and the Dodgers should have absolutely no problem teeing off on Corbin here and adding to his miserable history against them. Give me Los Angeles -1.5 in what I think ends up being a blowout in the series opener.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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