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White Sox vs Royals Prediction 6/28/26 MLB Picks Today

Kansas City Royals (34-50) vs. Chicago White Sox (43-38)
June 28, 2026 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago White Sox -143 / Kansas City Royals 119; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a White Sox vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 28th at Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The Chicago White Sox are 43-38 this season after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 22-1 and 2-1. In game two, Chicago trailed 1-0 in the seventh inning, but they tied the game in the bottom of the seventh and walked-off in the ninth. The White Sox recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Montgomery, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Martin allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Taylor got the win in relief. Prior to this series, Chicago won two out of three against the Guardians, but lost all three against the Tigers before that. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.25 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 388 runs with a .242 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Colson Montgomery has led the White Sox with 20 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Miguel Vargas has added 18 home runs and 50 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Anthony Kay, who is 6-2 with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 76.1 innings pitched this season. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 34-50 this year after they lost game two by a score of 1-2 on Saturday afternoon. Kansas City had plenty of baserunners, but they only managed one run in the seventh inning in the loss. The Royals recorded six hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Jensen, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Wacha allowed six hits and one earned run over 7.2 innings, while Lynch IV got the loss. Prior to this series, Kansas City split four games with the Rays and won two out of three against the Cardinals. 

This season, Kansas City has a 4.84 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .261 opponent batting average, while they have scored 352 runs with a .244 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Carter Jensen has led the Royals with 11 home runs and 43 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added 10 home runs and 32 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Luinder Avila, who is 3-3 with a 5.06 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP over 42.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

  • The Royals have lost each of their last 11 day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The White Sox have won each of their last seven home games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The White Sox have covered the run line in 13 of their last 15 day games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Rate Field.
  • The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in 14 of their last 16 day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

  • The White Sox have lost 15 of their last 22 games as favorites against the Royals following a win.
  • The underdogs have won four of the last six games between the Royals and White Sox.
  • The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites following a win.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in 11 of the White Sox’s last 13 games at Rate Field.
  • The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Sunday games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Six of the last seven games between the Royals and White Sox at Rate Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Royals’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the White Sox’s last six games.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Luinder Avila’s six previous appearances as a starter.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Teel has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the White Sox as favorites.
  • Anthony Kay has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances.
  • Miguel Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of the White Sox’s last six home games.
  • Anthony Kay has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Colson Montgomery ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (20) this season.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Carter Jensen has hit a home run in three of the Royals’ last four day games.
  • Luinder Avila has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Carter Jensen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances.
  • Luinder Avila has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (28) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The White Sox rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (115).
  • The White Sox rank 27th in the league for doubles this season (112).
  • The Royals rank 3rd in the league for doubles this season (148).
  • The Royals rank 28th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.261).

White Sox vs Royals Prediction 

Chicago was able to stay hot with another win on Saturday afternoon and they have allowed one run in three of their last four games. The White Sox are 28-13 at home this year, while the Royals are 15-28 on the road. Kansas City has lost four in a row and they have scored three runs or fewer in all four. The Royals are starting Avila, who has allowed one earned run in four of his last five outings, while Kay has allowed 4+ earned runs in two of his last four. Take the Royals to get the win here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Royals ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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