Yankees vs Rays Prediction 5/3/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 3rd at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 19-13 this year after they won game one in this series by a score of 3-0 on Friday night. New York didn’t do too much at the plate, but they scored three in the fifth inning for the win. The Yankees recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Goldschmidt, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. New York started Fried, who allowed just one hit over 7.0 innings for the win, while Weaver locked down the save. 

Prior to this series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Orioles, but did win two out of three against the Blue Jays before that. New York has won four of their last six games, and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .200 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 180 runs with a .265 batting average and a .349 on-base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 10 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Trent Grisham has added eight home runs and 15 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clarke Schmidt, who is 0-1 with a 5.52 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 14.2 innings pitched this year. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 14-18 this season after they were shut out in game one of this series on Friday night. Tampa Bay pitched a pretty strong game, but they allowed a homer in the fifth and failed to score in the loss. The Rays recorded just one hit, and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Caballero, who had the lone hit. TB started Pepiot, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Montgomery allowed one hit and one earned run over 0.2 innings in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Rays lost all three against the Royals, but did win all three against the Padres before that. Tampa Bay has lost four games in a row, and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 121 runs with a .242 batting average and a .308 on-base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with six home runs and 13 RBIs, while Jonathan Aranda has added four home runs and 14 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Zack Littell, who is 1-5 with a 5.03 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 34.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Rays

• The Rays have lost nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have won eight of their last nine home games against American League opponents.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in five of their last six games.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in six of their last seven day games at Yankee Stadium.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight day games against AL East opponents.

Why the Rays will beat the Yankees

• The Rays have won each of their last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last six day games against the Rays following a win.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in three of their last four road games.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Saturday day games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Rays’ last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Yankees’ last seven home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last seven day games at Yankee Stadium.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last four road games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Single in 12 of the Yankees’ last 13 day games.
• Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in 13 of his last 14 home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 14 day games.
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Josh Lowe has hit a home run in three of his eight previous road appearances against the Yankees.
• Danny Jansen has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four road appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
• Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL East opponents.
• Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one Single in seven of his eight previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL East opponents.
• Danny Jansen has scored a run in each of his six previous Saturday appearances at Yankee Stadium.

Yankees vs Rays Prediction 

The Yankees were able to get another great outing from Fried on Friday night in their win, and they are now 11-5 at home this year. New York didn’t play well in their last series against Baltimore, so yesterday’s win was a big one. Tampa Bay is 5-5 on the road, and they have dropped four games in a row overall. Both of these pitchers have some ugly numbers on the season, but Schmidt did pitch well against Toronto in his last outing. Littell has actually pitched better in his last three outings, and I think we could see a lower-scoring game here. Take the under.