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Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction 6/5/26 MLB Picks Today

Boston Red Sox (26-35) vs. NY Yankees (37-25)
June 5, 2026 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -149 / Boston Red Sox 123; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees meet Friday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Yankees vs Red Sox Pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 26-35 on the year and play the Rays and Rangers next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .248 on the season, have a .319 OBP, and have a .380 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Wilyer Abreu leads the Boston Red Sox with 66 hits and 28 RBI, while Ceddanne Rafaela and Willson Contreras have combined for 120 hits and 59 RBI.

Sonny Gray gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 6-1 with a 3.06 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. Gray is 2-3 with a 4.15 ERA and 48 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 37-25 on the year and play the Blue Jays and Guardians next. The New York Yankees are batting .241 on the season and have a .329 OBP and a .432 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.28 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 62 hits and 44 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Aaron Judge have combined for 113 hits and 78 RBI.

Ryan Weathers gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 2-3 with a 3.52 ERA and 75 strikeouts this season. This will be Weathers’ first career game against the Boston Red Sox.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Red Sox have lost seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have won each of their last five games against the Red Sox.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs against the Yankees following a loss.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Red Sox.
  • The Red Sox have lost the first inning in five of their last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Yankee Stadium.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Red Sox have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games against American League opponents.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games after playing the previous day.
  • The Red Sox have won the first inning in three of their last four games.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three night games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Red Sox’s last seven games as underdogs against the Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the last six games between the Red Sox and Yankees has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Yankees’ last eight home games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last nine games.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ben Rice ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.638) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Jarren Duran has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five road games.
  • Sonny Gray has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Sonny Gray has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Jarren Duran is one of only five players to record 10+ Home Runs and 10+ Stolen Bases this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (89).
  • The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (266).
  • The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (46).
  • The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for RBIs this season (233).

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction

The Yankees are going to be favored at home because they’re the Yankees. However, this is a rivalry, and I like my dogs in rivalries. The Red Sox are having a decent week, and Gray has been dealing this season, which includes allowing 21 hits and 6 runs in his last 27 innings. The Yankees also just lost Judge for a month, which is kind of a big deal. I’ll take a stab with the Red Sox and the plus money with Gray on the mound, who is kind of a diamond in the rough in Boston right now.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Boston Red Sox 123

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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