Miami Heat (32-41) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (23-50)
March 29, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia 76ers +7.5; Over/Under: 220.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers meet on Saturday in NBA action at the Wells Fargo Center. Here’s a 76ers vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a 76ers vs Heat Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat beat the Hawks and Warriors, and they play the Wizards, Celtics, and Grizzlies next. The Heat look for four straight wins for the first time since December 4-12. The Heat are currently the 10th seed in the East.
The Miami Heat are averaging 109.4 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 110.3 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.6 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 19.9 points and 4.1 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Terry Rozier is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.8 rebounds per game.
Philadelphia 76ers Betting Preview
The Philadelphia 76ers lost to the Pelicans and Wizards, and they play the Raptors, Knicks, and Bucks next. The 76ers have lost 21 of their last 24 games since February 5.
The Philadelphia 76ers are averaging 110 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 115.7 points on 49 percent shooting. Tyrese Maxey is averaging 26.3 points and 6.1 assists, while Kelly Oubre Jr. is averaging 15.1 points and 6.1 rebounds. Guerschon Yabusele is the third double-digit scorer, and Jared Butler is grabbing 2.6 rebounds. The Philadelphia 76ers are shooting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Philadelphia 76ers are allowing 37.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Philadelphia 76ers will win
- The Heat have lost each of their last six games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
- The 76ers have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the Heat’s last seven games.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The 76ers have lost each of their last 16 games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Heat have won each of their last eight games as road favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The 76ers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Heat’s last eight games as favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the 76ers’ last seven games have gone OVER the total points line.
76ers vs Heat Injury Report
The 76ers will be without Jared McCain, Eric Gordon, Joel Embiid, Paul George, Tyrese Maxey, Andre Drummond, Lonnie Walker IV, Kyle Lowry, Kelly Oubre Jr., and Adem Bona.
The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic, Duncan Robinson, Andrew Wiggins, and Dru Smith. Kevin Love and Alec Burks are questionable.
76ers vs Heat Prediction
The 76ers continue to get these inflated lines, and I’m not comfortable with them. The Heat have won three straight games and need to keep winning if they’re going to get out of the 10th seed. However, as I’ve said endless times, the Heat are one of those teams that plays to their level of competition. It’s the reason the Heat are nine games below a .500 record.
The Heat have countless bad losses, and they’ve blown endless double-digit leads this season. The Heat are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games when they were favorites of five or more points, and five of those failed covers were outright losses. The 76ers are tanking, bad, and they’re injured beyond belief. I still don’t want to back the Heat in the big favorite role. It’s the 76ers and the points or pass.
