Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction 5-29-23 NBA Picks
Boston Celtics (68-33) vs Miami Heat (56-45)
2023-05-29 20:30:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Celtics -8 -- Over/Under: 203.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat and Boston Celtics meet Monday in Game 7 of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals at the TD Garden. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat are averaging 112.2 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 108.8 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 28.5 points and 7 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 17.1 points and 9.1 rebounds. Caleb Martin is the third double-digit scorer and Gabe Vincent is grabbing 1.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 38.5 percent from beyond the arc and 80.4 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 33.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.9 rebounds per game.
Boston Celtics Betting Preview
The Boston Celtics are averaging 113.4 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 108.9 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 27.8 points and 10.5 rebounds, while Jaylen Brown is averaging 22.8 points and 3.3 assists. Marcus Smart is the third double-digit scorer and Derrick White is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 80.9 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game.
Trends
The Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Celtics are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 Monday games. The over is 16-5 in Heat last 21 overall. The over is 11-5 in Celtics last 16 overall. The Heat are 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Boston and 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Randy’s Pick
The Boston Celtics should be obvious favorites at home, and a blowout home win wouldn’t shock me given how game 6 ended. Three seconds away from going to the finals, it won’t be easy for the Heat to get off the mat and put together another winning effort. Also, Jimmy Butler has been on a milk carton for 3 straight games. With all that said, the Heat has been covering machines in this role. The Heat are 11-4 ATS and 9-6 SU in their last 15 playoff games as an underdog. The Heat have made bettors money all playoffs long. I’ll continue to ride that trend and grab the points.