
Bucks vs Heat Prediction 1/23/25 NBA Picks Today
Miami Heat (21-21) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (24-17)
January 23, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks -7; Over/Under: 223.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks meet Thursday in NBA action at the Fiserv Forum. Here’s a Bucks vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Bucks vs Heat Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Trail Blazers, beat the Spurs, and they play the Nets, Magic, and Cavs next. The Miami Heat are averaging 111.2 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 110 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 24 points and 5.7 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler is averaging 17.2 points and 5.3 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks beat the Raptors and 76ers, and they play the Clippers, Jazz, and Trail Blazers next. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 114 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 111.1 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 31.5 points and 12 rebounds, while Damian Lillard is averaging 25 points and 4.4 rebounds. Bobby Portis is the third double-digit scorer and Khris Middleton is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.8 percent from beyond the arc and 73.3 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Bucks have won each of their last seven night games.
- The Heat have lost each of their last four night games.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the Bucks’ last seven games.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won each of their last eight games against Central Division opponents following a loss.
- The Bucks have lost four of their last five Thursday games as favorites.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six games against Central Division opponents following a loss.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at Fiserv Forum when playing with a rest advantage.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.4).
- The Bucks rank 1st in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.9).
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (26.0).
- The Heat rank 29th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.8).
Bucks vs Heat Injury Report
AJ Green is out for the Bucks. MarJon Beauchamp, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Khris Middleton are probable.
The Miami Heat will be without Josh Richardson and Dru Smith. Jimmy Butler is suspended. Keshad Johnson and Tyler Herro are questionable.
Bucks vs Heat Prediction
The Milwaukee Bucks will benefit from not having to play yesterday, as Antetokounmpo and others got an extra day to rest. The Bucks have won seven of their last 10 games and are looking more and more like a team that’s figuring things out. The Miami Heat are still dealing with the Butler drama, they just lost to the Trail Blazers at home, and now Herro is questionable. The Heat can’t be in a great spot mentally, and it’s hard to back them on the road if they’re down Butler and Herro. Of course, check the injury report before betting. Still, at the time of this writing, I have to roll with the Bucks at home.