
Bucks vs Pelicans Prediction 4/10/25 NBA Picks Today
New Orleans Pelicans (21-58) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (45-34)
April 10, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks -15.5; Over/Under: 221.5
(Get latest betting odds)
New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview
The New Orleans Pelicans have been in a terrible slump as they’ve lost 14 of their last 18 games overall, and they will be hoping to snap a four-game skid after getting beaten by the Nets in a 119-114 road defeat on Tuesday. Antonio Reeves and Karlo Matkovic each scored 17 points, Jose Alverado added 16 points, while Jamal Cain chipped in with 15 points off the bench. As a team, the Pelicans shot 47 percent from the field and 12 of 33 from the 3-point line as they fought hard to keep pace with the Nets in a tightly contested first half. Only to get completely blown out in the third quarter, where they leaked 43 points to trail by as many as 20 points.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks are starting to heat up again as they will be gunning for a sixth-straight victory after sneaking past the Timberwolves in a thrilling 110-103 home win on Tuesday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with a triple-double of 23 points with 13 rebounds and 10 assists, Kevin Porter Jr added 21 points with five assists, while Bobby Portis chipped in with 18 points and 10 rebounds off the bench. As a team, the Bucks shot 47 percent from the field and 12 of 36 from the 3-point line as they got off to a poor start and looked to be in deep trouble when they trailed by 24 points. But they kept their heads and dominated the fourth quarter by 40-13 to run down the Timberwolves with time to spare and finish with their best comeback win of the season.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Pelicans have lost each of their last 12 games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Bucks have won each of their last 11 games as home favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at Fiserv Forum.
Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win
- The underdogs have won three of the Bucks’ last four games at Fiserv Forum.
- The Bucks have lost three of their last four games as home favorites after winning as underdogs.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in eight of the Bucks’ last 10 games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.3).
- The Bucks rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.8).
- The Pelicans rank 29th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (39.9).
- The Pelicans rank 28th in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (48.2%).
Bucks vs Pelicans Prediction
The Pelicans have ruled out CJ McCollum, Zion Williamson, and Trey Murphy again, while the Bucks have ruled out Damian Lillard again, and they have Pat Connaughton listed as questionable. The Pelicans have been one of the coldest teams in the league. They are missing almost all of their best players and just dropped a game to the slumping Nets. The Bucks were always going to be heavy favorites in this matchup, but I think it’s completely warranted as the Bucks have sprung to life recently. They would’ve taken so much confidence from their impressive comeback win over the Timberwolves in their last outing. The line is hefty, but I will stick with the Bucks to stay hot with another win and cover at home.