Cavaliers vs Mavericks Prediction 3/15/26 NBA Picks Today
Dallas Mavericks (22-45) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (41-26)
March 15, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Cavaliers -16.5; Over/Under: 236.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Dallas Mavericks and Cleveland Cavaliers meet Sunday in NBA action at the Rocket Arena. Here’s a Cavaliers vs. Mavericks prediction. This article will include a Cavaliers vs. Mavericks pick.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Cavs, beat the Grizzlies, and play the Pelicans next. The Mavs have lost 19 of their last 22 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 112.9 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 118 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20 points and 4.3 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 14.9 points and 4.8 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.
Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview
The Cleveland Cavaliers beat the Mavs and lost to the Magic, and they play the Bucks next. The Cavs have won 12 of their last 17 games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 119.1 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 114.6 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 28.2 points and 5.8 assists, while James Harden is averaging 19.9 points and 7.8 assists. Evan Mobley is the third double-digit scorer, and Jarrett Allen is grabbing 8.5 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.6 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last 15 games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Cavaliers have won each of their last 11 home games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine Sunday day games.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Mavericks’ last five games.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Cavaliers have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
- The Mavericks have won four of their last five games against Central Division opponents following a loss.
- The road team has covered the spread in nine of the last 10 games between the Mavericks and Cavaliers.
- The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as favorites following a win.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Mavericks’ last seven games as road underdogs has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Cavaliers’ last eight home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts
- Donovan Mitchell is one of only two players in the league to have made 7+ threes in consecutive games this season.
- Dean Wade ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for assist-to-turnover ratio (5.3) this season.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Khris Middleton is one of only seven players to have scored 35+ points off the bench in a game this season.
- Cooper Flagg is one of only eight players in the league to have recorded 30+ points and 10+ rebounds in consecutive games this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for Q3 points per game this season (31.2).
- The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for Q4 points per game this season (29.8).
- The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (34.2%).
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goals made per game this season (44.4).
Cavaliers vs Mavericks Injury Report
The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II. Klay Thompson and Daniel Gafford are doubtful. P.J. Washington is questionable.
The Cavs will be without Max Strus, Tyrese Proctor, Craig Porter, Sam Merrill, and Jarrett Allen. Jaylon Tyson is questionable.
Cavaliers vs Mavericks Prediction
The Mavericks just got smacked by the Cavs on Friday 138-105 at home and you’d think there would be some sort of pride to be more competitive here. The problem is the Mavs have been a sinking ship over the last month and that injury report isn’t helping. The Cavs still aren’t profitable at 28-38-1 ATS on the season but they’ve shown they can smoke lesser competition when the mood strikes. Massive line and an early start time but I can’t get behind the Mavs. It’s Cavaliers or pass for me on Sunday afternoon.
