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Cavaliers vs Raptors Prediction 5/3/26 NBA Picks Today

Toronto Raptors (46-36) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (52-30)
May 3, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Cavaliers -8.5; Over/Under: 211.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Raptors and Cleveland Cavaliers meet Sunday in NBA Game 7 at the Rocket Arena. Here’s a Cavaliers vs. Raptors Prediction. This article will include a Cavaliers vs. Raptors Pick.

Toronto Raptors Betting Preview

The Toronto Raptors look to win their first playoff series since the 2019-20 season. The Raptors have won 7 of their last 12 games.


The Toronto Raptors are averaging 111.5 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 111.5 points on 47.2 percent shooting. RJ Barrett is averaging 24.3 points and 7.5 rebounds, while Scottie Barnes is averaging 24.2 points and 5.7 rebounds. Collin Murray-Boyles is the third double-digit scorer, and Brandon Ingram is dishing 2.2 assists. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 73.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.5 rebounds per game.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers look to make the second round of the playoffs for a third straight season. The Cavs have won 8 of their last 12 games.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 111.5 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 111.5 points on 46.9 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 23.3 points and 3.3 assists, while James Harden is averaging 21 points and 6.7 assists. Evan Mobley is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Strus is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 72.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win

  • The home team has won each of the Raptors’ last 11 games.
  • The Raptors have lost each of their last 11 road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The home team has covered the spread in 10 of the Raptors’ last 11 games.
  • The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Sunday games at Rocket Arena.

Why the Toronto Raptors will win

  • The Cavaliers have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
  • The Raptors have won three of their last five playoff games as underdogs against Central Division opponents following a win.
  • The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Raptors have covered the spread in each of their last five games against Central Division opponents after winning as underdogs.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Raptors’ last five games after coming off overtime has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Cavaliers’ last four home games after coming off overtime has gone OVER the total points line.

Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts

  • James Harden has recorded 67 games with 4+ assists this season—equal to the most of any player in the league.
  • Dean Wade ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (5.5) this season.

Toronto Raptors Player Facts

  • Scottie Barnes is the only player in the league to have recorded 25+ rebounds in a game this season.
  • Jamal Shead has recorded 75 games with 3+ assists this season—most of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for Q4 points per game this season (30.0).
  • The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for H2 points per game this season (61.2).
  • The Raptors rank T1st in the league for Q3 win percentage this season (58.5%).
  • The Raptors rank 1st for fast break points (1549) this season.

Cavaliers vs Raptors Injury Report

The Cavaliers don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Immanuel Quickley is out for the Raptors with a hamstring injury. Brandon Ingram is questionable with heel inflammation.

Cavaliers vs Raptors Prediction

The Cavaliers should have the edge, given the home team has won every game in this series and each of the last seven meetings overall. However, it’s the Raptors that have been more competitive and have covered 4 straight games. The Raptors have played with more energy and more intensity, and their defensive pressure has frustrated the Cavs.

Harden has turned into a turnover machine and there’s not a reliable scorer outside of Mitchell. The Raptors aren’t sexy, but they play hard, and this feels like too many points. I honestly believe the Raptors can win this game, as the Cavs go through too many stretches of passive basketball. I’ll grab the points, but I’ll probably sprinkle the ML as well. I simply feel better about Toronto right now.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Toronto Raptors +8.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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