Celtics vs Bucks Prediction 11/4/26 NBA Picks Today
Milwaukee Bucks (1-6) vs. Boston Celtics (5-2)
November 4, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Celtics -11.5; Over/Under: 223.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Celtics vs Bucks Prediction
I’m not excited to get behind the Bucks as much as the next guy, but this is a lot of points. The Celtics have had issues covering double-digit lines for the last couple of seasons, and they’ve failed to cover three of their last four games as a double-digit favorite. The Bucks aren’t good and have a scoring issue all of a sudden, but the talent on the roster is better than the early results suggest. The Celtics have a thing where they play with their food often, and the constant threes leave an opening once they go cold at times. There’s better options out there on a stacked Wednesday NBA card, but I’ll grab the points with the Bucks if forced to pick.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks lost to the Timberwolves and Cavs, and they play the Raptors next. The Bucks have lost 15 of their last 19 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 111.1 points on 43.3 percent shooting and allowing 124.1 points on 47 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 21.9 points and 5 rebounds, while Jaime Jaquez Jr. is averaging 16.6 points and 7.3 rebounds. Kel’el Ware is the third double-digit scorer, and Ryan Rollins is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 33.3 percent from beyond the arc and 71.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.6 rebounds per game.
Boston Celtics Betting Preview
The Boston Celtics beat the Magic, lost to the Rockets, and they play the Hornets next. The Celtics have won 18 of their last 23 games.
The Boston Celtics are averaging 115 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 109.1 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 27 points and 6 rebounds, while Paul George is averaging 20.7 points and 6 rebounds. Payton Pritchard is the third double-digit scorer, and Derrick White is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Boston Celtics will win
- The Bucks have lost each of their last nine road games.
- The Celtics have won each of their last seven home games against the Bucks.
- The Celtics have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games against the Bucks following a loss.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Celtics have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a loss.
- The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three night games.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in three of their last four night games at TD Garden.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Bucks’ last nine Wednesday games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Nine of the Celtics’ last 10 home games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Boston Celtics Player Facts
- Paul George ranks 2nd in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.3) this season.
- Neemias Queta ranks 4th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Celtics rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (42.6).
- The Celtics have made the playoffs in 12 consecutive seasons- the longest active streak in the NBA.
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for steals per game this season (5.6).
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.7).