Miami Heat (34-41) vs. Boston Celtics (56-19)
April 2, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Celtics -11; Over/Under: 213
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat and Boston Celtics meet on Wednesday in NBA action at the TD Garden. Here’s a Celtics vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Celtics vs Heat Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat beat the Wizards and 76ers, and they play the Grizzlies, Bucks, and 76ers next. The Heat look for six straight wins for the first time this season. The Heat are currently the ninth seed in the East.
The Miami Heat are averaging 109.5 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 110.1 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.7 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 19.9 points and 4.1 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Terry Rozier is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.
Boston Celtics Betting Preview
The Boston Celtics beat the Spurs and Grizzlies, and they play the Suns, Wizards, and Knicks next. The Celtics have won 20 of their last 23 games and have had four home losses since January 20.
The Boston Celtics are averaging 116.9 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 107.8 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 27.2 points and 8.7 rebounds, while Jaylen Brown is averaging 22.4 points and 5.9 rebounds. Kristaps Porzingis is the third double-digit scorer, and Derrick White is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 79.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Boston Celtics will win
- The Celtics have won each of their last 16 games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Heat have lost each of their last nine road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last six games as favorites against the Heat.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The road team has won each of the Celtics’ last six games.
- The Celtics have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last seven games.
- The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine night games at TD Garden following a road win.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Heat’s last eight road games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Celtics’ last eight games against Southeast Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Celtics vs Heat Injury Report
Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, and Jrue Holiday are questionable for the Celtics. Al Horford is doubtful with a toe injury.
The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic, Kevin Love, Duncan Robinson, Andrew Wiggins, and Dru Smith.
Celtics vs Heat Prediction
The Heat have found life all of a sudden, but let’s pump the brakes a bit. Those wins came against the Wizards, 76ers, Hawks, Warriors without Curry, and the Hornets. I need to see the Heat show up against a team with a pulse before I’m ready to say they’ve made progress. The Celtics have a lot of key players on the injury report, so it’s worth checking for updates before betting. The Celtics also don’t cover numbers as double-digit favorites.
However, the Celtics are 6-0 SU and ATS in the last six games against the Heat. I’m just not convinced the Heat have figured something out by beating bad teams. I’ll lay the points with the Celtics if forced to pick.
