NBA Picks

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3-17-24 Picks

Denver Nuggets (46-20) vs. Dallas Mavericks (38-29)
March 17, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks +3.5; Over/Under: +230.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Denver Nuggets and Dallas Mavericks meet Sunday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks prediction.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets recently beat the Celtics, Jazz, Raptors, Heat, and Spurs. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 114.8 points on 49.6 percent shooting and allowing 110.3 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 26 points and 12.2 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 20.9 points and 4.1 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 6.4 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 76 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks recently beat the Bulls and Warriors while losing to the Thunder. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 119 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.7 points on 48.1 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 34.3 points and 9.9 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 25.4 points and 5 rebounds. Tim Hardaway Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Daniel Gafford is grabbing 7.5 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37.1 percent from beyond the arc and 76.1 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.2 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Team Facts

  • The Mavericks have won six of their last nine games as home underdogs against Northwest Division opponents.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine home games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • Each of the Mavericks’ last four games at American Airlines Center following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Denver Nuggets Team Facts

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last seven day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 road games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • Each of the Nuggets’ last six day games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks prediction

This game comes down to the health of Luka Doncic as he was listed as questionable with a hamstring issue at the time of this writing. If Luka can’t go, I have to side with the red-hot Nuggets. The Nuggets have won three straight games against the Mavs which includes a 16-ppoint win back in December. The Nuggets are also looking more and more like the best version of themselves with the playoffs approaching. The Nuggets have won 9 of their last 10 games and have covered 7 of their last 10 games. Hard to step in front of that, especially if Luka can’t go. I’ll lay the reasonable number with the Nuggets on the road.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Denver Nuggets -3.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

Related Articles

Back to top button