Memphis Grizzlies (5-11) vs. Dallas Mavericks (5-12)
November 22, 2025 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks -2.5; Over/Under: 226.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Memphis Grizzlies and the Dallas Mavericks collide at the American Airlines Center on Saturday night. Here’s a Mavericks vs Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs Grizzlies Pick.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies have been in a slump as they’ve lost nine of their last 11 games overall. But they will be feeling much better after they put a halt to a five-game slide with a 137-96 win over the Kings on Thursday. Santi Aldama led the team with 29 points on 11 of 18 shooting, Cedric Coward added 19 points with four rebounds and four assists, Vince Williams Jr tallied four points with 15 assists while Zach Edey chipped in with 16 points on seven of seven shooting.
As a team, the Grizzlies shot 51 percent from the field and 17 of 54 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 75 points in the first half. They just didn’t show any let up in the second half as they romped their way to a much-needed win at home following a tough stretch.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been in a real slump as they’ve lost nine of their last 12 games overall, but they will be eager to build some momentum after beating the Pelicans in a 118-115 win last night. Cooper Flagg led the team with 29 points, seven rebounds and five assists on 12 of 19 shooting, PJ Washington added 24 points with nine rebounds on eight of 14 shooting while Max Christie drained five 3-pointers to finish with 23 points on seven of 12 shooting.
As a team, the Mavericks shot 48 percent from the field and 16 of 43 from the 3-point line as they poured in 36 points in the third quarter to overcome an early 15-point deficit, before they closed the final 1:19 on a 7-0 run to escape with the gritty win at home.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Grizzlies have lost each of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The favorites have won each of the Grizzlies’ last 14 games.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The favorites have covered the spread in 10 of the Grizzlies’ last 11 games.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last eight games following a win.
- The Grizzlies have won each of their last six games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last five games against the Mavericks.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Grizzlies’ last nine games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Mavericks’ last seven home games against Southwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (11.4).
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for Q2 points per game this season (25.2).
- The Grizzlies rank 29th in the league for field goal percentage this season (43.3%).
- The Grizzlies rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (17.0).
Mavericks vs Grizzlies Prediction
The Grizzlies are still missing Brandon Clarke, Scotty Pippen Jr, Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr, while the Mavericks have ruled out D’Angelo Russell, Dante Exum, Anthony Davis and Kyrie Irving. The Grizzlies have been struggling to get anything going this season, but they would’ve gotten plenty of confidence from their massive win on Thursday, while the Mavericks were ice-cold before their thrilling win over the Pelicans last night. You couldn’t back either side with any confidence these days, but with the Mavericks playing their second game of a back to back set. I prefer a small play on the shorthanded Grizzlies to snag a narrow win on the road.
