Miami Heat (4-3) vs. Denver Nuggets (4-2)
November 5, 2025 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Nuggets -9.5; Over/Under: 241.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat travel to the Ball Arena to do battle with the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday night. Here’s a Nuggets vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Nuggets vs Heat Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat are starting to get on a roll as they’ve won four of their last six games overall and they will be looking to build on their 120-119 road win over the Clippers on Monday. Bam Adebayo led the team with 25 points, 10 rebounds and four assists, Norman Powell added 21 points on six of 10 shooting while Andrew Wiggins chipped in with 17 points on seven of 12 shooting.
As a team, the Heat shot a healthy 54 percent from the field and 12 of 25 from the 3-point line as they withstood an early barrage from the Clippers. They worked their way back from an 11-point deficit to tie the game late in the fourth quarter. Before Wiggins and Adebayo carried the Heat over the line on back-to-back clutch shots.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been on a roll with four wins from their past five games and they will be eager to stay hot after sneaking past the Kings in a 130-124 home win on Monday. Nikola Jokic led the team with 34 points, seven rebounds and 14 assists on 14 of 22 shooting, Christian Braun added 21 points, Aaron Gordon scored 20 points while Jamal Murray tallied 15 points with seven rebounds and seven assists.
As a team, the Nuggets shot 51 percent from the field and 12 of 38 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 39 points in the first quarter to take an early 15-point lead. They played well enough to hold off a couple of charges from the Kings in the second half.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won 17 of their last 18 night games against the Heat.
- The Heat have lost 16 of their last 17 night games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against the Nuggets after winning as underdogs.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Nuggets have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Heat have won three of their last four games as road underdogs after winning as underdogs.
- The road team has covered the spread in seven of the last eight games between the Heat and Nuggets.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of the Heat’s last 11 road games against Northwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eighteen of the Nuggets’ last 20 home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Nuggets vs Heat Prediction
The Heat are still missing Tyler Herro and Kasparas Jakucionis, while the Nuggets don’t have a single player listed on the injury report. The Heat have emerged as one of the surprise teams in the league so far as they’ve been finding plenty of success with their uptempo offense. But it’s the Nuggets who open as favorites at home as they’ve been in great form.
It’s hard to picture anything but a win for the Nuggets given that they’re playing well and have all their players healthy, but the Heat have proven already that they never let up. I think they will show that again and keep the margin to single digits in the end.
