Atlanta Hawks (19-21) vs. Golden State Warriors (21-18)
January 11, 2026 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Golden State Warriors -5.5; Over/Under: 235.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Atlanta Hawks and the Golden State Warriors do battle at the Chase Center on Sunday night. Here’s a Warriors vs Hawks Prediction. This article will include a Warriors vs Hawks Pick.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks are starting to turn things around as they’ve won four of their last six games overall and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after routing the shorthanded Nuggets in a 110-87 road win on Friday. Jalen Johnson led the team with 29 points, nine rebounds and six assists on 12 of 18 shooting, Nickeil Alexander-Walker added 22 points while Dyson Daniels racked up a triple-double of 17 points with 11 rebounds and 10 assists. As a team, the Hawks shot 49 percent from the field and 16 of 43 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in trouble when they scored just 16 points in the third quarter to fall behind. Before they dominated the fourth quarter by 36-12 to make it look easy in the end.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have been in fine form as they’ve won eight of their last 11 games overall and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after getting smashed by the Kings in a 137-103 win on Friday. Stephen Curry led the team with 27 points and 10 assists, De’Anthony Melton added 19 points off the bench while Jimmy Butler III chipped in with 15 points and six assists. As a team, the Warriors shot a healthy 55 percent from the field and 19 of 45 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 34 points in the first quarter to jump out in front early. However, they did most of their damage in the second half where they outscored the Kings by an incredible 74-44 to secure one of their most dominant wins of the season.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won each of their last 10 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Hawks have lost each of their last four games at Chase Center.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the last nine games between the Hawks and Warriors.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at Chase Center.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The Hawks have won each of their last four games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Warriors have lost four of their last seven games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
- The Hawks have covered the spread in 11 of their last 12 road games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 12 home games against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
Total Points Facts
- Five of the Hawks’ last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Warriors’ last six games as favorites against the Hawks have gone OVER the total points line.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Stephen Curry ranks 1st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (4.8) this season.
- Draymond Green is one of only eight qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (5.8) and assists (5.5) per game this season.
Atlanta Hawks Player Facts
- Jalen Johnson has recorded 33 games with 5+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
- Dyson Daniels ranks 1st in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (15.9).
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (43.9).
- The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (31.2).
- The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season – trailed by 18 points @ Suns on November 16.
Warriors vs Hawks Prediction
The Hawks are still missing Zaccharie Risacher, and they are keeping an eye on Kristaps Porzingis who is questionable for this one, while the Warriors have ruled out LJ Cryer and Seth Curry once again. The Hawks look like they may be turning the corner as they are coming into this one fresh off a massive win over the Nuggets for their fourth win in six outings. However, the Warriors have clearly been the hotter team overall. They certainly looked red-hot in their 34-point win over the Kings on Friday. I like what I’ve seen from the Hawks recently, and they have a chance of an upset in this game, but the Warriors have been one of the hottest teams in the league lately. They are just too hard to pass up at this modest line at home.
