Houston Rockets (48-29) vs. Golden State Warriors (36-41)
April 5, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Golden State Warriors +3.5; Over/Under: 225.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Rockets pay a visit to the Golden State Warriors at the Chase Center on Sunday night. Here’s a Warriors vs Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Warriors vs Rockets Pick.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets have been in great form as they’ve won seven of their last nine games overall and they will be eager to build on their current five-game win streak after blowing past the Jazz in a 140-106 home win on Friday. Kevin Durant led the team with 25 points and six assists on eight of 12 shooting, Amen Thompson added 21 points with eight rebounds and four assists, Alperen Sengun scored 19 points while Jabari Smith Jr chipped in with 18 points. As a team, the Rockets shot 55 percent from the field and 15 of 32 from the 3-point line as they dominated from the tipoff and set the tone with 34 points in the first quarter to take a double digit that only grew as the game wore on. The Rockets had a total of six players scoring at least 16 points and they never trailed at any point in this game.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have been in a real slump as they’ve lost 13 of their last 18 games overall and they will be hoping to avoid a fourth straight defeat after getting beaten by the Cavaliers in a 118-111 loss on Thursday. Gui Santos led the team with 25 points on nine of 14 shooting, Brandin Podziemski added 25 points on nine of 15 shooting while Kristaps Porzingis chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Warriors shot 44 percent from the field and 12 of 44 from the 3-point line as they fought hard to take a narrow lead late in the fourth quarter before they got outscored by 18-8 in the final 3:38 of the fourth quarter. De’Anthony Melton shot just two of 12 for his five points.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Rockets following a loss.
- The Rockets have lost each of their last six games when playing with a rest disadvantage against the Warriors.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 road games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against the Rockets following a loss.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Warriors have lost each of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
- The favorites have won each of the Warriors’ last 12 games.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 14 night games at Chase Center.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the last four games between the Rockets and Warriors.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Rockets’ last six games as favorites following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of the Warriors’ last nine games against Southwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Draymond Green is one of only seven qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (5.5) and assists (5.4) per game this season.
- Kristaps Porzingis is one of only 10 qualified Centers in the league shooting at least 80% from the free-throw line this season.
Houston Rockets Player Facts
- Alperen Sengun ranks 2nd in the league for points in the paint (952) this season.
- Amen Thompson ranks 4th in the league for points in the paint (926) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (44.6).
- The Warriors rank 2nd in the league for steals per game this season (9.8).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (48.0).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (15.0).
Warriors vs Rockets Prediction
The Rockets are still missing Fred VanVleet and Steven Adams, while the Warriors have ruled out Quentin Post, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III and Al Horford with Stephen Curry and Seth Curry both questionable. These teams have already met twice this season with each team winning on the road, but it’s the Rockets who enter this meeting as the hotter team right now, they are relatively healthy and I think they will make secure the easy win and cover unless the Warriors get some reinforcements in the form of Stephen Curry who is questionable.
