Miami Heat (2-5) vs. Golden State Warriors (5-3)
November 5, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Golden State Warriors -7.5; Over/Under: 238.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Warriors vs Heat Prediction
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat looked like they might be turning the corner as they have now won three of their past four games after sneaking past the Clippers in a 117-116 overtime road win last night. Bam Adebayo led the team with 35 points, 10 rebounds and four assists on 14 of 20 shooting, Klay Thompson drained eight 3-pointers to finish with 30 points on 11 of 22 shooting while Giannis Antetokounmpo tallied 27 points with 14 rebounds, six assists and three blocks.
As a team, the Heat shot just 43 percent from the field and 10 of 40 from the 3-point line as they clawed their way back from an early 20-point deficit to force the game into overtime, where Thompson saved the day with the game-winner with just 1.0 seconds left on the clock.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors didn’t look great after starting their season with three straight defeats, but they are suddenly one of the hottest teams in the league as they are now gunning for a sixth straight victory after sneaking past the Suns in a 116-113 home win on Monday. Stephen Curry led the team with 34 points, six rebounds, and seven assists; Brandin Podziemski added 20 points, while Charles Bassey chipped in with 19 points on seven of 10 shooting off the bench.
As a team, the Warriors shot 43 percent from the field and 13 of 42 from the 3-point line as they got off to a slow start and scored just 19 points in the first quarter to fall behind by 17 points, but that only seemed to wake them up as the Warriors rallied all the way back to escape with the gritty win in front of their home fans. De’Anthony Melton had a night to forget as he shot just one of nine from the field for his two points in 28 minutes off the bench.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Heat have lost each of their last nine night games following an overtime win.
- The Warriors have won each of their last eight home games against the Heat following a win.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine night games following an overtime win.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last six games.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Warriors have lost each of their last seven games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Heat have won each of their last three games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Warriors’ last nine home games following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Heat’s last five games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Stephen Curry ranks T2nd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (4.5) this season.
- Charles Bassey ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (15.8) this season.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Giannis Antetokounmpo is the only qualified player in the league averaging at least 25.0 points, 10.0 rebounds, and 5.0 assists this season.
- Davion Mitchell has recorded five games with 10+ assists this season- the most of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (16.1).
- The Warriors have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q1 deficit this season – trailing by 23 points @ Lakers on October 30.
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent assists per game this season (29.9).
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (40.5%).
