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Grizzlies vs Hawks Prediction 3/3/25 NBA Picks Today

Atlanta Hawks (27-33) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (38-22)
March 3, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Memphis Grizzlies -7.5; Over/Under: 252.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Hawks and Memphis Grizzlies meet Monday in NBA action at the FedExForum. Here’s a Grizzlies vs Hawks Prediction. This article will include a Grizzlies vs Hawks Pick.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks lost to the Heat and Thunder, and then play the Bucks, Pacers, and 76ers next. The Hawks are a brutal 5-14 since January 20.


The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 116.6 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 119.5 points on 48.2 percent shooting. Trae Young is averaging 23.8 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Dyson Daniels is averaging 13.9 points and 5.5 rebounds. Onyeka Okongwu is the third double-digit scorer, and Zaccharie Risacher is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Knicks and Spurs, and they play the Thunder, Mavs, and Pelicans next. The Grizzlies are 3-6 in their last nine games and have dropped to the fourth seed.

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 123.2 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 116.7 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 22.8 points and 6 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 20.5 points and 7.4 assists. Desmond Bane is the third double-digit scorer and Santi Aldama is grabbing 6.7 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.6 percent from the free throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

  • The Grizzlies have won each of their last 11 games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Hawks have lost each of their last six games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The Hawks have won six of their last nine games as underdogs following a home loss.
  • The Grizzlies have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a home loss.
  • The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of the last four games between the Hawks and Grizzlies.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Grizzlies’ last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of the Hawks’ last seven games against Southwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Grizzlies vs Hawks Injury Report

The Memphis Grizzlies will be without Zyon Pullin and Yuki Zawamura. Ja Morant is questionable with a shoulder injury.

The Hawks won’t have Jalen Johnson, Georges Niang, Kobe Bufkin, Larry Nance Jr., and Vit Krejci.

Grizzlies vs Hawks Prediction

The Memphis Grizzlies should be favored at home and should win this game, but they also should’ve beat the Spurs and Knicks before this. The Grizzlies have lost five of their last seven games and are dropping quickly in the standings. It’s too soon to hit the panic button, but there is some concern. The Grizzlies are also 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games. The Hawks have the rest advantage, and they’ve covered six of their last 10 games. Maybe the Grizzlies get right and win convincingly, but I just don’t like what I saw over the last week. Give me the Hawks and the points on Monday night.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Atlanta Hawks +7.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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