Houston Rockets (37-23) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (48-11)
March 3, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -11.5; Over/Under: 222
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oklahoma City Thunder play host to the Houston Rockets at the Paycom Center on Monday night. Here’s a Thunder vs Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Rockets Pick.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets have been in pretty good form as they’ve won five of their last eight games overall. They will be eager to bounce back after having their two-game win streak stopped by the Kings in a 113-103 loss on Saturday. Alperen Sengun led the team with 30 points, 10 rebounds, and five assists on 10 of 16 shooting, Jalen Green added 24 points while Dillon Brooks chipped in with 12 points. As a team, the Rockets shot 43 percent from the field and 13 of 35 from the 3-point line. The Rockets fought hard to claw their way back from an early 16-point deficit, only to get blown away in the fourth quarter where they scored just 21 points to allow the Kings off the hook.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been in red-hot form as they’ve won 12 of their last 14 games overall and they will be aiming for a fourth straight victory after blowing past the Spurs in a 146-132 road win last night. Jalen Williams led the team with 41 points, six rebounds, and seven assists, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander added 31 points with eight assists while Cason Wallace chipped in with 19 points. As a team, the Thunder shot 54 percent from the field and 19 of 44 from the 3-point line as they trailed going into halftime despite scoring 41 points in the first quarter. Before, they started to play defense and dominated the second half by 74-55 to make it a blowout. The Thunder will meet the Grizzlies after this game.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 13 games as favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Rockets have lost each of their last six road games.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games at Paycom Center following a loss.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in 11 of their last 13 games at Paycom Center against teams that held a winning record.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The road team has won each of the Thunder’s last six games.
- The Thunder have lost four of their last five games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs following a home loss.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Thunder’s last 10 games as favorites following a road win has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Rockets’ last six games against Northwest Division opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
Thunder vs Rockets Prediction
The Rockets could be shorthanded again with Tari Eason, Steven Adams, and Alperen Sengun all listed as questionable, while the Thunder are still playing without Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Joe. These teams have already met three times this season with the Thunder leading the series by 2-1 so it’s no surprise to see them open as double-digit favorites at home in this one. The Rockets have been in decent form, and they have the advantage of extra rest as they have not played since Saturday. So I think they can hang with the Thunder and at least keep the margin to single digits in the end.
