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Grizzlies vs Spurs Prediction 3/1/25 NBA Picks Today

San Antonio Spurs (24-33) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (38-20)
March 1, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Memphis Grizzlies -11.5; Over/Under: 241.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Antonio Spurs and the Memphis Grizzlies collide at the FedExForum on Saturday night. Here’s a Grizzlies vs Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Grizzlies vs Spurs Pick.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs have been in poor form as they’ve lost seven of their last nine games overall. The Spurs will be hoping to snap a four-game losing streak after getting stomped by the Rockets in a 118-106 road defeat on Wednesday. Keldon Johnson and Stephon Castle led the team in scoring with 22 points each, Sandro Mamukelashvili added 12 points while Julian Champagnie chipped in with 11 points, but no other player scored more than nine points. As a team, the Spurs shot just 42 percent from the field, seven of 39 from the 3-point line, and they didn’t have a single starter finish in double figures in scoring. The Spurs weren’t ready for the Rockets from the tipoff and quickly found themselves falling behind by as many as 28 points before they finished with a flurry in the fourth quarter to keep the final margin respectable.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies have been in a rut. They’ve lost four of their last six games overall and they will be hoping for a better result after falling painfully short to the Knicks in a 114-113 home defeat last night. Ja Morant led the team with 25 points and seven assists, Desmond Bane added 24 points with 12 rebounds and four assists while Jaren Jackson Jr chipped in with 18 points, seven rebounds and two blocks. As a team, the Grizzlies shot 46 percent from the field and just four of 31 from the 3-point line as they battled with the Knicks to take a narrow lead midway through the fourth quarter. The Grizzlies went cold and scored just seven points in the final 5:42 to allow the Knicks to snatch away the lead with just 5.1 seconds left on the clock.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

  • The Grizzlies have won each of their last 15 home games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Spurs have lost each of their last 15 games against Grizzlies teams that held a winning record.
  • The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games against Southwest Division opponents.
  • The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last eight home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

  • The Spurs have won 10 of their last 12 games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Grizzlies have lost 17 of their last 22 games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Spurs.
  • The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games.
  • The road team has covered the spread in six of the last seven games between the Spurs and Grizzlies.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Spurs’ last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of the Grizzlies’ last six home games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

Grizzlies vs Spurs Prediction

The Spurs are still shorthanded with Victor Wembenyama and Charles Bassey both out, while the Grizzlies are still playing without GG Jackson. These teams have already met three times this season, and it was the Grizzlies who won each game by at least 14 points. The Spurs will want to avoid the season sweep, but they just don’t have the firepower to hang with the Grizzlies, who are getting desperate for a win. The line is hefty and the Grizzlies have been playing well below their best lately, but I think they finally steady their season with a much-needed blowout win at home.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Memphis -11.5

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Peter Tran

Peter Trans is an acclaimed Expert NBA Handicapper, renowned for his insightful analysis and predictions in the world of professional basketball. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the game, Peter has established himself as a trusted authority among basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. His expertise is showcased on SportsChatPlace.com, where he provides in-depth game analyses, betting tips, and forecasts that are both highly informative and remarkably accurate.

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