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Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction 4/24/25 NBA Picks Today

Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (48-34)
April 24, 2025 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Memphis Grizzlies +8.5; Over/Under: 226.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Memphis Grizzlies meet Thursday in the NBA playoffs Game 3 at the FedExForum. Here’s a Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Grizzlies vs Thunder Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder look for a quick 3-0 series lead to all but put this thing to bed. The Thunder have won 17 of their last 19 games overall and have lost one road game since February 21.


The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 124.5 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 89.5 points on 38.6 percent shooting. Jalen Williams is averaging 22 points and 5.5 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 21 points and 5.5 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaron Wiggins is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 87.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 24.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 54.5 rebounds per game.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies are down 0-2 in the series and have been outscored by 70 points in the first two losses. The Grizzlies have been held under 100 points three times since March 19.

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 89.5 points on 38.6 percent shooting and allowing 124.5 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Ja Morant is averaging 20 points and 2.5 rebounds, while Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 15 points and 1 assist. Desmond Bane is the third double-digit scorer, and Marvin Bagley III is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 24.6 percent from beyond the arc and 80.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

  • The home team has won each of the Grizzlies’ last seven Western Conference First Round games.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of the Grizzlies’ last seven playoff games.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six playoff games at FedExForum.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last 11 games against the Grizzlies.
  • The Grizzlies have lost each of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 home games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last eight games against Grizzlies teams that held a winning record.

Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts

  • Jaren Jackson Jr. is one of only three qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. ranks 6th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.2) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (32.7) this season.
  • Cason Wallace ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.8) this season.

Grizzlies vs Thunder Injury Report

The Memphis Grizzlies will be without Brandon Clarke, Jaylen Wells, and Zyon Pullin.

The Thunder will be without Ousmane Dieng and Nikola Topic.

Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction

The Grizzlies should have some sort of motivation coming back home and the crowd will try to help, but that only goes so far. The bottom line is the Grizzlies have been taken behind the woodshed in this series, and home court only does so much.

The Thunder are 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against the Grizzlies. The Thunder are also 57-24-4 ATS on the season, making them one of the safest bets in all of sports. The Thunder have also covered eight straight games as a double-digit favorite. If there was going to be a game in this series where the Grizzlies bring their best effort, this would be it. Problem is, betting against OKC hasn’t worked all year and shouldn’t be considered now.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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