Hawks vs Bucks Prediction 1/19/26 NBA Picks Today
Milwaukee Bucks (17-24) vs. Atlanta Hawks (20-24)
January 19, 2026 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks -2.5; Over/Under: 231.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Milwaukee Bucks and Atlanta Hawks meet Monday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs Bucks Pick.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks lost to the Spurs and Timberwolves, and they play the Thunder next. The Bucks have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 112.9 points on 48.5 percent shooting and allowing 115.1 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 29.2 points and 9.8 rebounds, while Kevin Porter Jr. is averaging 18.2 points and 5.3 rebounds. Ryan Rollins is the third double-digit scorer and Bobby Portis is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 39.5 percent from beyond the arc and 73.9 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 36.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.6 rebounds per game.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks lost to the Celtics and Trail Blazers, and they play the Grizzlies next. The Hawks have lost 16 of their last 23 games.
The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 118.4 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 118.4 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Jalen Johnson is averaging 23.7 points and 10.3 rebounds, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.6 points and 3.6 rebounds. Kirstaps Porzingis is the third double-digit scorer, and Onyeka Okongwu is grabbing 7.9 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The Bucks have lost 15 of their last 16 games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Hawks have won each of their last four games against the Bucks following a loss.
- The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last seven games against the Bucks following a home loss.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Hawks have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a loss.
- The Bucks have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a road loss.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in five of their last six road games following a loss.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Bucks’ last six games as underdogs following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Hawks’ last five games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
Atlanta Hawks Player Facts
- Jalen Johnson is the only player in the league averaging a double-double while shooting at least 30% from three this season.
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker ranks 2nd in the league for fast break points (176) this season.
Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts
- Bobby Portis ranks 1st amongst qualified players for 3P% (47.6%) this season.
- Giannis Antetokounmpo ranks 1st in the league for points in the paint (528) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (30.9).
- The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season – trailed by 18 points @ Suns on November 16.
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.7).
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throw percentage this season (73.5%).
Hawks vs Bucks Injury Report
The Hawks will be without N’Faly Dante, Zaccharie Risacher, and Kristaps Porzingis. Dyson Daniels is questionable.
The Bucks will be without Taurean Prince.
Hawks vs Bucks Prediction
Two slumping teams that I’m not excited to get behind, but laying points with the Hawks isn’t the move. We’ve been fading the Hawks a lot lately because they keep getting respect from oddsmakers but keep coming up small. The Hawks are 20-24 ATS on the season, and while they’re at home, they’ve lost 12 times at home this season. The Bucks are 8-14 SU on the road and this is an early start, which doesn’t help. However, the Bucks do have the best player on the floor and are the healthier side overall. There are better options out there, but I’ll grab the bucket with the Bucks if forced to pick.
