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Hawks vs Cavaliers Prediction 11/28/25 NBA Picks Today

Cleveland Cavaliers (12-7) vs. Atlanta Hawks (11-8)
November 28, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks +5.5; Over/Under: 238.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cleveland Cavaliers and Atlanta Hawks meet Friday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs Cavaliers Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs Cavaliers Pick.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers beat the Clippers, lost to the Raptors, and they play the Celtics next. The Cavs have won 12 of their last 18 games.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 118.8 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 114.8 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 29.9 points and 5.5 assists, while Evan Mobley is averaging 18.7 points and 3.9 assists. De’Andre Hunter is the third double-digit scorer and Jarrett Allen is grabbing 7.6 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 75.4 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks beat the Hornets, lost to the Wizards, and they play the 76ers next. The Hawks have won 15 of their last 24 games.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 117.2 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 115.4 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Jalen Johnson is averaging 21.5 points and 9.5 rebounds, while Kristaps Porzingis is averaging 18.7 points and 5.9 rebounds. Nickeil Alexander-Walker is the third double-digit scorer, and Trae Young is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The Hawks have won each of their last six home games against Central Division opponents after losing as favorites.
  • The Cavaliers have lost seven of their last eight games at State Farm Arena.
  • The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as underdogs after losing as favorites.
  • The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as road favorites against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.

Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win

  • The Cavaliers have won 14 of their last 15 night games against Southeast Division opponents.
  • The Hawks have lost six of their last seven home games following a road loss.
  • The Cavaliers have covered the spread in eight of their last nine road games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Cavaliers’ last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Hawks’ last five home games against the Cavaliers following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

  • Jalen Johnson has recorded 7+ assists in nine consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
  • Dyson Daniels ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.2) this season.

Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts

  • Donovan Mitchell ranks T2nd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (3.9) this season.
  • Evan Mobley is one of only three qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.5 threes and 1.5 blocks this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (30.5).
  • The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season – trailed by 18 points @ Suns on November 16.
  • The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (44.6).
  • The Cavaliers rank 2nd in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (15.5).

Hawks vs Cavaliers Injury Report

The Hawks will be without Trae Young.

The Cavs will be without Max Strus. Sam Merrill and Jarrett Allen are questionable.

Hawks vs Cavaliers Prediction

The Cavs have the ability to win this game comfortably, but they’ve also underachieved up to this point and the offense has been hit or miss. The Cavs are also 6-13 ATS on the season, which isn’t ideal. The Hawks have played their best ball on the road, but they’ve quietly played decent without Young and have cashed some nice tickets. The Cavs have covered just 3 of their last 10 games, and that includes a couple of outright losses as big favorites. The Cavs have already lost 4 times on the road. Give me the points with the Hawks.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Atlanta Hawks +5.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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