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Hawks vs Pacers Prediction 1/26/26 NBA Picks Today

Indiana Pacers (11-35) vs. Atlanta Hawks (22-25)
January 26, 2026 1:30 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks -5.5; Over/Under: 232.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Indiana Pacers and Atlanta Hawks meet Monday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs Pacers Pick.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers lost to the Celtics, beat the Thunder, and they play the Bulls next. The Pacers have lost 4 of their last 6 games.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 110.1 points on 44.2 percent shooting and allowing 118.2 points on 48.3 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 23.8 points and 6.9 rebounds, while Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 17.8 points and 5.5 rebounds. Andrew Nembhard is the third double-digit scorer, and Obi Toppin is grabbing 6.7 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 76.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 34.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks beat the Grizzlies and Suns, and they play the Celtics next. The Hawks have lost 17 of their last 26 games.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 117.5 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 118.7 points on 47.7 percent shooting. Jalen Johnson is averaging 23.2 points and 10.5 rebounds, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.3 points and 3.5 rebounds. CJ McCollum is the third double-digit scorer, and Kirstaps Porzingis is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 77.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The Hawks have won each of their last six games against Pacers teams that held a losing record.
  • The Pacers have lost 22 of their last 25 road games.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
  • The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last four games against the Pacers.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Hawks have lost each of their last five games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The underdogs have won four of the Hawks’ last five games.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Pacers’ last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Hawks’ last six games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

  • Luke Kennard ranks 1st amongst qualified players for 3P% (48.1%) this season.
  • Jalen Johnson is the only qualified player in the league averaging at least 20.0 points, 10.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists this season.

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

  • T.J. McConnell ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (10.2) this season.
  • Pascal Siakam is one of only three qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds per game (6.9) and three-point shooting percentage (38.5%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (31.0).
  • The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season – trailed by 18 points @ Suns on November 16.
  • The Pacers rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (11.3).
  • The Pacers rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (33.2).

Hawks vs Pacers Injury Report

The Hawks will be without N’Faly Dante, Zaccharie Risacher, and Kristaps Porzingis.

The Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, and Bennedict Mathurin. Quenton Jackson is questionable.

Hawks vs Pacers Prediction

I considered the points with the Pacers, as I just don’t think highly of the Hawks, and this is an early start which usually leads to ugly sluggish play. This game wasn’t supposed to be this early. With that said, the Pacers are 3-19 SU on the road. The Hawks are also coming off nice underdog wins over the Grizzlies and Suns. The Hawks are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last 3 games against the Pacers, and they’ve covered 4 straight games against them overall. I’ll lay the chalk with Atlanta at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Atlanta Hawks -5.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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