Hawks vs Timberwolves Prediction 12/31/25 NBA Picks Today
Minnesota Timberwolves (21-12) vs. Atlanta Hawks (15-19)
December 31, 2025 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks +4.5; Over/Under: 243.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Minnesota Timberwolves and Atlanta Hawks meet Wednesday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs Timberwolves Pick.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves lost to the Nets, beat the Bulls, and they play the Heat next. The Timberwolves have won 11 of their last 15 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 118.5 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 113.5 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 28.7 points and 5 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 22.6 points and 5.5 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Donte DiVincenzo is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks lost to the Knicks and Thunder, and they play the Knicks next. The Hawks have lost 11 of their last 13 games.
The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 118.8 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 119.6 points on 47.9 percent shooting. Jalen Johnson is averaging 23.8 points and 10.5 rebounds, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.3 points and 3.5 rebounds. Trae Young is the third double-digit scorer, and Kristaps Porzingis is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 6.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last three games between the Timberwolves and Hawks at State Farm Arena.
- The Timberwolves have lost 18 of their last 22 games at State Farm Arena.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last six games between the Timberwolves and Hawks.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 games against Hawks teams that held a losing record.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won 14 of their last 15 games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Hawks have lost each of their last six games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games at State Farm Arena.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in five of their last six day games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Timberwolves’ last five games against the Hawks following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Nine of the Hawks’ last 11 games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
Atlanta Hawks Player Facts
- Dyson Daniels ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.9) this season.
- Trae Young is one of only four players in the league to have recorded 17+ assists in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Hawks rank 3rd in the league for pace this season (102.4).
- The Hawks rank 28th in the league for rebound percentage this season (47.3%).
- The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for H2 points per game this season (59.8).
- The Timberwolves rank 4th in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (4.1).
Hawks vs Timberwolves Injury Report
The Hawks will be without Eli John Ndiaye and N’Faly Dante. Trae Young is questionable.
The Timberwolves will be without Terrence Shannon Jr.
Hawks vs Timberwolves Prediction
I’ve been fading the Timberwolves a lot this season, as they play with their food often and are 13-20 ATS because of it. The Hawks are getting healthier, so that’s a plus for the home team. Still, the Timberwolves are comfortably the better team here, as the Hawks stink. Until the Hawks can get their act together, I have little interest in backing this club. Home court also hasn’t helped the Hawks, who are 5-11 SU. It’s also a homecoming for Edwards, so you know he’ll want to put on a show on New Year’s Eve. I’ll lay the reasonable number with the Timberwolves.



