
Heat vs Celtics Prediction 3/14/25 NBA Picks Today
Boston Celtics (47-19) vs. Miami Heat (29-36)
March 14, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +8; Over/Under: 216
(Get latest betting odds)
The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat meet Friday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Celtics Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Celtics Pick.
Boston Celtics Betting Preview
The Boston Celtics beat the Jazz, lost to the Thunder, and play the Nets, Trail Blazers, and Kings next. The Celtics have lost two straight games just once since December 27.
The Boston Celtics are averaging 117 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 108.2 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 27.2 points and 8.9 rebounds, while Jaylen Brown is averaging 23.2 points and 6.1 rebounds. Kristaps Porzingis is the third double-digit scorer and Derrick White is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 37.1 percent from beyond the arc and 79.7 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Clippers and Hornets, and they play the Grizzlies, Knicks, and Pistons next. The Heat have lost five straight games and are in danger of dropping to the 10th seed at this point.
The Miami Heat are averaging 110.1 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 110.6 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.8 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 18.4 points and 4.6 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rosier is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Heat’s last three games.
- The Celtics have lost five of their last six games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Heat.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the Heat’s last eight games.
- The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
Why the Boston Celtics will win
- The Celtics have won each of their last 18 games following a home loss.
- The Heat have lost each of their last seven home games against Celtics teams that held a winning record.
- The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last 10 road games following a loss.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.7).
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.3).
- The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.8).
- The Celtics rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (17.8).
Heat vs Celtics Injury Report
The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic, Alec Burks, and Dru Smith.
Kristaps Porzingis, Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, and Jaylen Brown are questionable for the Celtics.
Heat vs Celtics Prediction
The Celtics aren’t profitable on the season, and they’re big favorites yet again despite a lot of key names on the injury report. You have to check for updates before betting this one because the line will change drastically depending on the results. With that said, I want nothing to do with the Heat. The Heat consistently blow double-digit leads and lose games, and it’s to the point where I think the confidence is shot.
The Celtics are 5-0 SU and ATS in the last five games against the Heat. The two games this season were decided by an average of 18.5 points. The Heat are going nowhere fast and as long as the Celtics have most of their core on the floor, this should be another blowout. Heck, considering the Heat lost to the Bulls and Hornets recently, it probably doesn’t matter either way. Celtics roll.