Memphis Grizzlies (44-32) vs. Miami Heat (35-41)
April 3, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +4.5; Over/Under: 227
(Get latest betting odds)
The Memphis Grizzlies and Miami Heat meet on Thursday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Grizzlies Pick.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Celtics and Warriors, and they play the Pistons, Hornets, and Timberwolves next. The Grizzlies have lost eight of their last 10 games and have dropped to the sixth seed in the West.
The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 122 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 117.3 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 22.4 points and 5.6 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 22.3 points and 7.5 assists. Desmond Bane is the third double-digit scorer, and Santi Aldama is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 36.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.1 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat beat the Wizards and Celtics, and they play the Bucks, 76ers, and Bulls next. The Heat look for seven straight wins for the first time this season. The Heat are currently the ninth seed in the East.
The Miami Heat are averaging 109.8 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 109.8 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.7 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 19.9 points and 4.1 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Terry Rozier is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won each of their last six games.
- The Grizzlies have lost seven of their last eight games.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last eight games.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Grizzlies have won 12 of their last 13 games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Heat have lost nine of their last 10 games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in 11 of their last 13 games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Grizzlies’ last five games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Heat’s last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
Heat vs Grizzlies Injury Report
The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic, Kevin Love, Duncan Robinson, Andrew Wiggins, and Dru Smith.
The Memphis Grizzlies will be without Brandon Clarke, Vince Williams Jr., and Zyon Pullin.
Heat vs Grizzlies Prediction
The Heat are banged up and on the end of a back-to-back, and they’re in a letdown spot after beating the Celtics last night. The Grizzlies probably should be favored. However, I’m not laying points with the Grizzlies, a team that continues to lose and fails to cover numbers. The Grizzlies look like a team that’s free-falling with losses in eight of their last 10 games, and they made a panic move recently by firing their coach. The Heat are playing their best ball of the season, with wins and covers in their last six games. It wouldn’t be shocking to see the Heat win this game as well. Give me the buckets with the Heat at home.
