Heat vs Hornets Prediction 10/28/25 NBA Picks Today

The Charlotte Hornets and Miami Heat meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Hornets Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Hornets Pick.

Charlotte Hornets Betting Preview

The Charlotte Hornets beat the Wizards, lost to the 76ers, and they play the Magic next. The Hornets have lost 8 of their last 10 games.

The Charlotte Hornets are averaging 132 points on 50.9 percent shooting and allowing 118.3 points on 45.5 percent shooting. LaMelo Ball is averaging 28.3 points and 9.7 assists, while Miles Bridges is averaging 19.3 points and 8 rebounds. Collin Sexton is the third double-digit scorer and Kon Knueppel is dishing 1.3 assists. The Charlotte Hornets are shooting 41.4 percent from beyond the arc and 74.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Charlotte Hornets are allowing 37.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Grizzlies and Knicks, and they play the Spurs next. The Heat have won 10 their last 15 regular season games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 127.3 points on 49.6 percent shooting and allowing 115.3 points on 41.7 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 24 points and 7.3 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 19.3 points and 3 assists. Jaime Jaquez Jr. is the third double-digit scorer, and Simone Fontecchio is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 39.3 percent from beyond the arc and 80 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 51.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won each of their last 16 home games against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Hornets have lost each of their last nine road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games against Southeast Division opponents.
• The Hornets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games against Heat teams that held a winning record.

Why the Charlotte Hornets will win

• The Heat have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a win.
• The Hornets have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Heat following a win.
• The Hornets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Heat’s last six games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Hornets’ last six night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Bam Adebayo is one of only three qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds per game (10.0) and free-throw percentage (94.7%) this season.
• Davion Mitchell ranks 5th amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (10.9) this season.

Charlotte Hornets Player Facts

• Ryan Kalkbrenner ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (87.5%) this season.
• LaMelo Ball has recorded three games with 7+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (94.3).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (35.7).
• The Hornets rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (132.0).
• The Hornets rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (31.0).

Heat vs Hornets Injury Report

The Heat will be without Tyler Herro, Terry Rozier, and Kasparas Jakucionis. Simone Fontecchio is questionable with a calf injury.

The Hornets don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Heat vs Hornets Prediction

If forced to pick a side, I’d lean toward the Heat, as they’ve shown more up to this point, and they’re simply more trustworthy overall. However, I’ve been high on the Hornets from the start, and you have to be encouraged by their start. I’m leaning toward the over in this spot. The Heat have picked up their pace from past seasons, and the Hornets have been an up-tempo offensive team. The over has hit in all 3 of the Hornets games, and the over is 7-3 in the Heat’s last 10 games overall. I expect a quick paced high scoring game. Give me the over.