Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Picks, Odds, Predictions 4/7/21

The Dallas Mavericks and the slumping Houston Rockets do battle at the Toyota Center on Wednesday night.

The Dallas Mavericks have been in fine form as they’ve won seven of their past nine games and they will be eager to build on their current five-game win streak after taking down the red-hot Jazz in a 111-103 home win on Monday. Luka Doncic led the team with 31 points, nine rebounds and eight assists, Dorian Finney-Smith added 23 points, Jalen Brunson scored 20 points off the bench while Josh Richardson chipped in with 17 points on six of nine shooting. As a team, the Mavericks shot 45 percent from the field and a sizzling 23 of 49 from the 3-point line as they held the Jazz to just 17 points in the second quarter to lead by eight points at halftime, before blowing the margin out to 18 points in the third quarter where they poured in 37 points.

Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets have been in a serious slump as they’ve lost 27 of their past 29 games and they will be hoping to arrest a five-game slide after falling just short to the Suns in a 133-130 home loss on Monday. Christian Wood led the team with 23 points, Kelly Olynyk added 21 points on seven of eight shooting, Kevin Porter Jr. scored 20 points with nine rebounds and eight assists while Jae’Sean Tate chipped in with 18 points, seven rebounds and five assists. As a team, the Rockets shot a healthy 54 percent from the field and 17 of 33 from the 3-point line, as they trailed by as many as 15 points before a fourth quarter rally saw them close to within one point with 3.5 seconds remaining.

Looking at the betting trends, the Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games, 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team below .400 and 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall. The Rockets are 5-23 ATS in their last 28 home games, 14-39 ATS in their last 53 games following a loss and 16-38 ATS in their last 54 games overall.

Head to head, the over is 4-1 in the last five meetings overall and the Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings in Houston.  

The Mavericks are clearly the team in better form coming into this matchup and there’s no doubt they will this one comfortably as long as they don’t look past the Rockets who were surprisingly competitive against the red-hot Suns on Monday. The line seems a little hefty for a road team, but the Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings in Houston and they are expecting to have Kristaps Porzingis back in action. With that being said, I’m sticking with the Mavericks to maintain their momentum with a win and cover here.