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Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics Prediction 5-27-24 Picks

Boston Celtics (75-20) vs. Indiana Pacers (55-44)
May 27, 2024 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Indiana Pacers +8; Over/Under: 222.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Celtics and Indiana Pacers meet Monday in Game 4 of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics Prediction.

Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics have won 6 straight games and will make their second finals appearance in the last 3 years with a win. The Celtics are 5-0 SU on the road in these NBA playoffs. The Boston Celtics are averaging 111.8 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 101.2 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 26 points and 10.2 rebounds, while Jaylen Brown is averaging 24.7 points and 6.2 rebounds. Derrick White is the third double-digit scorer and Jrue Holiday is grabbing 5.3 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 79.8 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers have lost 6 of their last 10 games and need a win to force a game 5 on Wednesday. The Pacers are 6-1 SU at home in these NBA playoffs. The Indiana Pacers are averaging 114.6 points on 51 percent shooting and allowing 113.3 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 21.8 points and 7.4 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 18.7 points and 4.8 rebounds. Myles Turner is the third double-digit scorer and Andrew Nembhard is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 74.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41 rebounds per game.

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics Injury Report

The Pacers will remain without Bennedict Mathurin, who is out for the season with a shoulder injury and hasn’t played since March 5. Tyrese Haliburton is questionable with a leg injury that kept him out of game 3. Kristaps Porzingis was expected to return for game 4, but he’s now ruled out, with the Celtics up big in the series. Luke Kornet (wrist) and Jrue Holiday (illness) are questionable for the Celtics.

Why the Boston Celtics will win

  • The Celtics have won each of their last seven playoff games against the Pacers.
  • The Pacers have lost seven of their last eight Eastern Conference Finals games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Celtics’ last seven games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Eight of the Pacers’ last nine night games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the last three Eastern Conference Finals games have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pacers rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (123.3).
  • The Pacers rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (30.8).
  • The Celtics rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+11.3).
  • The Celtics rank T1st in the league for blocks per game this season (6.6).

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics Prediction

The Boston Celtics should be obvious big favorites as they’re the better team and if the Pacers are going to be without Haliburton again, it’s hard to make a counter. With that said, the Pacers could easily be up 2-1 in this series, as they were the better team for much of game 1 and game 3. With or without Haliburton, the Pacers have the scoring to compete, and they’re still 32-16 SU at home this season, with only one of those losses coming in these playoffs.

Also, the Celtics have failed to cover 5 of their last 7 games when favorites of 7 or more points. The Holiday status could also be a gift for the Pacers if he’s not able to go. Either way, the Celtics have proven they’ll probably sweep because the Pacers can’t finish a game. However, the Pacers are still good enough for 40 minutes to keep it close enough. Give me the Pacers to cover for the fifth time in the last six games against the Celtics. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Indiana Pacers +8

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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