The Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Lakers meet Monday in game 4 of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the crypto.com Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets are averaging 116.6 points on 49.1 percent shooting and allowing 107.9 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.9 points and 13.2 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 27.9 points and 5.6 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Bruce Brown is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.8 percent from beyond the arc and 81.1 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game.
Los Angeles Lakers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Lakers are averaging 112.4 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 109.7 points on 43.6 percent shooting. LeBron James is averaging 23.5 points and 9.9 rebounds, while Anthony Davis is averaging 22.7 points and 14.1 rebounds. Austin Reaves is the third double-digit scorer and D’Angelo Russell is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Los Angeles Lakers are shooting 33.2 percent from beyond the arc and 80.3 percent from the free throw line. The Los Angeles Lakers are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.1 rebounds per game.
The Nuggets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals games. The Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The over is 5-1-1 in Nuggets last 7 road games. The over is 15-7 in Lakers last 22 overall. The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Once again, the Los Angeles Lakers are getting the benefit of the doubt because they're at home and in a must win spot. The Lakers can't possibly go down like this, right? No matter how you look at it, the Nuggets are the better team and have comfortably proven that through 3 games. You make money in this business long term when getting free points with the better team. Maybe the Lakers show some pride and force a game 5, but the value will remain with the Nuggets and free points. I see no benefit in laying chalk with the Lakers in this series.