Magic vs Heat Prediction 12/5/25 NBA Picks Today

The Miami Heat and Orlando Magic meet Friday in NBA action at the Kia Center. Here’s a Magic vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Magic vs Heat Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Clippers, lost to the Mavericks, and they play the Kings next. The Heat have won 22 their last 34 regular season games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 123.6 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 118.2 points on 43.8 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 25.7 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Norman Powell is averaging 24.7 points and 2.4 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 32 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46 rebounds per game.

Orlando Magic Betting Preview

The Orlando Magic beat the Bulls, lost to the Spurs, and they play the Knicks next. The Magic have won 12 of their last 17 games.

The Orlando Magic are averaging 119.5 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 114.3 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Franz Wagner is averaging 22.9 points and 3.7 assists, while Paolo Banchero is averaging 21.7 points and 8.7 rebounds. Desmond Bane is the third double-digit scorer, and Jalen Suggs is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Orlando Magic are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 80.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Orlando Magic are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Orlando Magic will win

• The Magic have won each of their last nine games against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
• The Heat have lost each of their last five games on the first leg of a back-to-back after losing as favorites.
• The Magic have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games on the first leg of a back-to-back after losing as favorites.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
• The Magic have lost four of their last six games as home favorites following a home loss.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last seven night games against Southeast Division opponents.
• The Magic have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Heat’s last six road games following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Magic’s last five games as home favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

Orlando Magic Player Facts

• Jalen Suggs has recorded 3+ steals in three consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Desmond Bane ranks 1st in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for FT% (93.4%) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Davion Mitchell has recorded five games with 4+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
• Kel’el Ware ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (15.6) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Magic rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (32.5).
• The Magic rank 1st in the league for free throws made per game this season (24.3).
• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (14.1).
• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (42.5).

Magic vs Heat Injury Report

The Magic will be without Moritz Wagner. Paolo Banchero is questionable after not playing since November 12.

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier. Norman Powell and Tyler Herro are questionable.

Magic vs Heat Prediction

I originally was going to go with the Heat and the points, as I have been more impressed with them this season, but we’re seeing Powell and Herro listed as questionable. Meanwhile, the Magic could get Banchero back, as he’s not listed as out. Those are massive moves in the injury report and drastically favor Orlando. The home team has won 7 of the last 10 games between the Heat and Magic. The Heat have seen 6 of their 8 losses come on the road. If the Heat are missing their starting backcourt, it’s hard to get behind them. Potential return of the Magic’s star, I’ll lay the points.