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Magic vs Thunder Prediction 3/17/26 NBA Picks Today

Oklahoma City Thunder (53-15) vs. Orlando Magic (38-29)
March 17, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Orlando Magic +9.5; Over/Under: 221.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Orlando Magic meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Kia Center. Here’s a Magic vs. Thunder prediction. This article will include a Magic vs. Thunder pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Celtics and Timberwolves and then play the Nets next. The Thunder have won 13 of their last 15 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 118.5 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 107.7 points on 43.6 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.6 points and 6.7 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 17.5 points and 4.7 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 82.2 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.

Orlando Magic Betting Preview

The Orlando Magic beat the Heat, lost to the Hawks, and play the Hornets next. The Magic have won 13 of their last 18 games.

The Orlando Magic are averaging 115.7 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 114.1 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Paolo Banchero is averaging 22.3 points and 5 assists, while Franz Wagner is averaging 21.3 points and 5.8 rebounds. Desmond Bane is the third double-digit scorer, and Anthony Black is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Orlando Magic are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Orlando Magic are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Orlando Magic will win

  • The Magic have won each of their last eight home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Magic have covered the spread in each of their last seven games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven night games.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Magic have lost each of their last 11 games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Thunder.
  • The Thunder have won 22 of their last 23 games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Magic have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight Tuesday games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games against the Magic following a win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Magic’s last five games has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of the Thunder’s last seven games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Magic vs Thunder Injury Report

The Magic will be without Franz Wagner, Jonathan Isaac, and Anthony Black.

The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Branden Carlson, and Jalen Williams.

Magic vs Thunder Prediction

The Magic are at the end of a back-to-back, didn’t look good last night against the Hawks, and the Thunder are as healthy as they’ve been in months. OKC is slowly but surely becoming whole with the playoffs right around the corner. With that said, this is a lot of points. As I’ve said many times before, these aren’t your cover machines from past years. The Thunder are 32-35-1 ATS on the season. Since January 4, the Thunder are 7-13 ATS when favorites of 7 or more points. I’ll grab the points with the Magic at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Orlando Magic +9.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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