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Mavericks vs Cavaliers Prediction 3/13/26 NBA Picks Today

Cleveland Cavaliers (40-26) vs. Dallas Mavericks (22-44)
March 13, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks +12.5; Over/Under: 235.5
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The Cleveland Cavaliers and Dallas Mavericks meet Friday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Mavericks vs. Cavaliers Prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs. Cavaliers pick.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers beat the 76ers and lost to the Magic, and they play the Mavs next. The Cavs have won 11 of their last 16 games.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 118.8 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 114.8 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 28.3 points and 5.8 assists, while James Harden is averaging 20.2 points and 7.8 assists. Evan Mobley is the third double-digit scorer, and Jarrett Allen is grabbing 8.5 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77.7 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Hawks, beat the Grizzlies, and play the Cavs next. The Mavs have lost 18 of their last 21 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.1 points on 6.9 percent shooting and allowing 117.7 points on 46.9 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.1 points and 4.2 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 15 points and 4.7 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 74.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Cavaliers have lost three of their last four games as road favorites.
  • The underdogs have won three of the Cavaliers’ last four games.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Cavaliers’ last seven games.
  • The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as road favorites.

Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win

  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last 14 games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Cavaliers have won each of their last 12 night games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The road team has covered the spread in eight of the last nine games between the Cavaliers and Mavericks.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Mavericks’ last eight games has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Cavaliers’ last five games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

  • Daniel Gafford is one of only two players to have made 10+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
  • Cooper Flagg is one of only eight players in the league to have recorded 30+ points and 10+ rebounds in consecutive games this season.

Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts

  • Donovan Mitchell is one of only two players in the league to have made 7+ threes in consecutive games this season.
  • Dean Wade ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for assist-to-turnover ratio (5.2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (34.0%).
  • The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (94.2).
  • The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for Q3 points per game this season (31.0).
  • The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for Q4 points per game this season (29.8).

Mavericks vs Cavaliers Injury Report

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II. Klay Thompson is questionable.

The Cavs will be without Max Strus, Tyrese Proctor, and Jarrett Allen.

Mavericks vs Cavaliers Prediction

The Cavaliers are going to be big favorites because they’re the better team with the rest advantage. You don’t want to make a habit of backing the Mavs. However, the Cavaliers are back to coming up short on cashing tickets, as they’re 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games. The Cavs are 27-38-1 ATS on the season. The Mavs aren’t winning and are a loser ATS as well, but they’re at home and as healthy as they’ve been in months. I’m just not excited to lay big numbers with the Cavs given they don’t make you money. It’s Mavericks or pass for me.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Dallas Mavericks +12.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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