Sacramento Kings (31-28) vs. Dallas Mavericks (32-29)
March 3, 2025 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks -1.5; Over/Under: 233
(Get latest betting odds)
The Sacramento Kings and the Dallas Mavericks collide at the American Airlines Center on Monday night. Here’s a Mavericks vs Kings Prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs Kings Pick.
Sacramento Kings Betting Preview
The Sacramento Kings have been in pretty good form as they’ve won six of their last eight games overall, and they will be gunning for a fourth straight victory after outlasting the Rockets in a 113-103 road win on Saturday. DeMar DeRozan led the team with 21 points and six assists, Zach LaVine added 20 points with six rebounds and four assists while Jonas Valanciunas chipped in with 15 points, 14 rebounds, four steals, and three blocks. As a team, the Kings shot 50 percent from the field and nine of 28 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with a 21-5 run. However, the Kings allowed the Rockets back into the contest and never regained control until the fourth quarter, when they were finally able to pull away.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have cooled off a bit recently, as they’ve lost three of their last four games overall. They were trampled by the Bucks in a 132-117 home defeat on Saturday. Kyrie Irving tried his best as he led the way with 31 points, Moses Brown added 18 points with nine rebounds on eight of nine shooting, while Klay Thompson and Jaden Hardy scored 16 points each. As a team, the Mavericks shot 47 percent from the field and 11 of 40 from the 3-point line as they looked to be off to a great after scoring 36 points in the first quarter. However, they allowed 40 points in the second quarter and got outscored by 30-16 in the third quarter to find themselves trailing by as many as 23 points at one stage. The Mavs will face the Bucks and Grizzlies following this one.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won each of their last eight games as home favorites following a loss.
- The Kings have lost 21 of their last 25 road games against Southwest Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
- The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last six games as favorites following a home loss.
Why the Sacramento Kings will win
- The Kings have won nine of their last 10 games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Mavericks have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Kings have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games against the Mavericks following a road win.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three home games against Kings teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Mavericks’ last nine games against Pacific Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Kings’ last four night games at American Airlines Center following a road win has gone UNDER the total points line.
Mavericks vs Kings Prediction
The Kings are slightly shorthanded for this one, with Domantas Sabonis already ruled out, while the Mavericks are still playing without Daniel Gafford and Anthony Davis. The Kings open as slight underdogs, which is understandable given how important Sabonis is to their offense, but the Mavericks are still depleted at the moment, and they are prone to scoring droughts if Irving does not get going. So I will lean towards the Kings in what should be a close one.
