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Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction 1/14/25 NBA Picks Today
Denver Nuggets (23-15) vs. Dallas Mavericks (22-17)
January 14, 2025 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks +4.5; Over/Under: 232
(Get latest betting odds)
The Denver Nuggets and the Dallas Mavericks duke it out once again on Tuesday night. Here’s a Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs Nuggets Pick.
Denver Nuggets
The Denver Nuggets have been in great shape as they’ve won seven of their last nine games overall and they will be gunning for a fourth straight victory after sneaking past the Mavericks in a 112-101 road win on Sunday. Russell Westbrook led the team with 21 points, 10 rebounds, and seven assists, Nikola Jokic racked up 19 points with 18 rebounds and nine assists, while Jamal Murray chipped in with 17 points. As a team, the Nuggets shot 48 percent from the field and seven of 32 from the 3-point line. The Nuggets got off to a terrible start and scored just 17 points in the first quarter to trail by as many as 19 points. The Nuggets flipped a switch and dominated the fourth quarter by 33-12 to make it look easy in the end.
Dallas Mavericks
Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been in a real slump as they’ve lost six of their last eight games overall and they will be hoping to bounce back after getting beaten by the Nuggets in a 112-101 loss on Sunday. Klay Thompson led the team with 25 points, Naji Marshall and Spencer Dinwiddie each scored 16 points, while Dereck Lively chipped in with 14 points and eight assists. As a team, the Mavericks shot just 41 percent from the field and 12 of 34 from the 3-point line. The Mavs looked to be in full control after leading by 19 points, but they never put the Nuggets away and it cost them in the fourth quarter where they scored just 12 points. The Mavs will play the Pelicans and Thunder following this one.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won each of their last nine games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Nuggets have lost five of their last six games as favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last six games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their five previous games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Nuggets.
- The Nuggets have won each of their last four road games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as favorites.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Dereck Lively II ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Blocks Per Game (1.7) this season.
- Klay Thompson ranks 12th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.0) this season.
Denver Nuggets Player Facts
- Russell Westbrook is the only player to have recorded a triple-double off the bench this season.
- Christian Braun ranks 1st in the league for fast break points (187) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for Q4 points per game this season (28.9).
- The Dallas Mavericks are one of only three teams to win a road game against the Thunder this season.
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (31.2).
- The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent assists per game this season (29.4).
Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets are still keeping an eye on Aaron Gordon who is listed as day to day, while the Mavericks have ruled out Luka Doncic again, but Kyrie Irving has been upgraded to questionable for this contest. There was an element of luck in the Nuggets’ win on Sunday, as they were definitely losing for the majority of the contest before they came to life in the fourth quarter. The Mavericks might feel like they have a chance at revenge, but I can’t go past these Nuggets, who look like great value at the short line in this spot.