Mavericks vs Suns Player Props Picks For Today 11/8/24

Mavericks vs Suns Player Props Picks For Today 11/8/24

This matchup between the Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks features two Western Conference rivals with star-studded lineups. The Mavericks, powered by Luka Dončić and newly acquired Klay Thompson, emphasize a strong perimeter game, and Dončić has historically performed well against Phoenix, often scoring efficiently from beyond the arc. Dallas enters with confidence, having recently secured a season-opening win. 

Meanwhile, Phoenix, led by Kevin Durant and Devin Booker, aims to counter with a high-powered offense but faces challenges with defensive consistency. Both teams have playoff aspirations, making this game an early season indicator of their Western Conference standing. With a star filled matchup like this the player prop market is hot and we’ll be looking to capitalize.

Luka Doncic Over 31.5 PTS – 110

Luka Dončić is having another impressive scoring season in 2024-25, averaging 28.6 points per game for the Dallas Mavericks. His scoring is complemented by 8.1 rebounds and 8.1 assists per game, showcasing his all-around game. He has been highly efficient, shooting 40.2% from the field and 32.9% from three, with a strong free throw percentage of 78.5%. These stats reflect his central role as the Mavericks’ primary offensive engine.

We’ve seen him go under 30 points in three of his last five games but I expect him to get back in the thirties for this one. He’s dominated this Suns team in the past and for some reason he tends to play at an extra gear when he gets matched up with Phoenix. 

Jusuf Nurkic Over 8.5 Reb -115

Jusuf Nurkić has been playing a key role for the Phoenix Suns. So far this season he is averaging 10.6 rebounds per game. Nurkic’s total minutes are around 22 per game, showing his significant role in the rotation. He’s had some monstrous games on the boards already this season. 

We saw Nurkic grab 20 rebounds in his last game against Miami. We’ve also seen a 15 and 18 rebound game as well. The Mavs have some good bigs but they’re young and still not developed fully physically. I expect a double digit rebound game on Friday against this Dallas team that’s allowing 58.1 rebounds per game which is the third most in the league. 

Kevin Durant Over 2.5 3 PTS +135

Kevin Durant has been averaging 2.4 three-pointers per game over 8 games, with a 43.6% shooting percentage from beyond the arc​. His three-point shooting efficiency has been consistent across various games, and he is currently making about 5.6 attempts per game​. These stats showcase Durant’s proficiency from long range, as he continues to be a significant offensive threat for the Phoenix Suns this season. 

Durrant has been the Suns more consistent and efficient three point shooter this season. I expect this to be a close and tight game which means Durrant should get a ton of minutes. I also like the price we can get this line at.

Daniel Gafford Over 11.5 PTS -120

Daniel Gafford has been averaging 11.0 points per game this season, with a shooting percentage of 61.3%. His performance includes strong contributions as a rebounder and shot-blocker. 

Over the last three games, we’ve seen a lot more production from Gafford on the offensive end. He had a season-high against Orlando putting up 18 points and he put up 17 points in his last game against the Bulls. A big reason for this uptick has been the fact Derrick Lively has been out. This had caused Gafford’s minutes to go up. It looks like Lively will be out again for this one which makes me love Gafford to have another big game.