Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction 1/22/26 NBA Picks Today

The Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks meet Thursday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs Warriors Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors beat the Heat, lost to the Raptors, and they’ll play the Timberwolves next. The Warriors have won 12 of their last 17 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 116.9 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 114 points on 47.1 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 27.1 points and 5.1 assists, while Brandin Podziemski averages 12.3 points and 3.2 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer, and De’Anthony Melton is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 81.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Jazz and Knicks, and they play the Lakers next. The Mavs have won 4 of their last 5 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.2 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 116.6 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 20.4 points and 2.8 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 18.8 points and 6.3 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Naji Marshall is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 74.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 32.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won each of their last four games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
• The Warriors have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against the Warriors.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games at American Airlines Center.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last eight games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have won each of their last seven road games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as road favorites following a home loss.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Warriors’ last four games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Mavericks’ last four games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Klay Thompson ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.8) this season.
• Max Christie ranks 2nd in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (45.9%) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Stephen Curry ranks 1st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (4.5) this season.
• Al Horford has made the most free-throws without a miss (11) of any player in the league this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (32.9%).
• The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (93.8).
• The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (16.4).
• The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (44.5).

Mavericks vs Warriors Injury Report

The Mavericks will be without Dante Exum, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, and Anthony Davis. Daniel Gafford and Moussa Cisse are questionable.

The Warriors will be without Seth Curry and Jimmy Butler. Gary Payton II is questionable.

Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction

The Warriors are going to be favored because of the Mavs injury report, but Dallas has quietly won 4 of its last 5 games. The Warriors have had issues on the road all season, where 13 of their 20 losses have come. The Warriors are also a struggling offensive group that’s now down their second-leading scorer in Jimmy. While on the end of a back to back at the time, the Warriors’ effort against the Raptors without Jimmy was awful. If that’s an indication of things to come, things could get dark. The Mavs have seen 13 of their 18 wins come at home. Since December 3, the Mavs are 5-1 SU and ATS as a home underdog. Give me the points.