Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction 2/12/25 NBA Picks Today

The Dallas Mavericks play host to the Golden State Warriors at the American Airlines Center on Wednesday night. Here’s a Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs Warriors Pick.

The Golden State Warriors have won five of their last eight games overall but they will be gunning for a third straight victory after taking down the Bucks in a 125-111 road win on Monday. Stephen Curry led the team with 38 points, six rebounds, and four assists, Jimmy Butler added 20 points with nine rebounds, six assists, and four steals while Buddy Hield chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Warriors shot 44 percent from the field and 13 of 45 from the 3-point line as they traded shots with the Bucks in a close contest until the fourth quarter where they poured in 36 points thanks to Curry to win comfortably in the end.

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been doing it tough lately as they’ve lost four of their last six games overall and they will be hoping to bounce back in this one after falling painfully short to the Kings in a heartbreaking 129-128 overtime loss on Monday. Kyrie Irving led the team with 30 points, nine rebounds, and seven assists, Spencer Dinwiddie added 20 points off the bench while Klay Thompson chipped in with 19 points. As a team, the Mavericks shot 51 percent from the field and 15 of 37 from the 3-point line as they looked to have the game won before the Kings’ DeMar DeRozan drained the game-tying basket with just 2.1 seconds left in the fourth quarter to send the game into overtime where he drained the game-winner to snatch the game from the Mavericks in the end.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won each of their seven previous games against the Warriors after coming off overtime.
• The Warriors have lost seven of their last eight road games against Mavericks teams that held a winning record.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at American Airlines Center.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won 16 of their last 20 games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Mavericks have lost each of their last three games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against Western Conference opponents following an overtime loss.
• The favorites have covered the spread in five of the Warriors’ last six games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mavericks rank 28th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.1).
• The Mavericks rank 3rd in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (23.6).
• The Warriors rank 30th in the league for free throw percentage this season (72.6%).
• The Warriors rank 29th in the league for free throws made per game this season (15.1).

The Warriors are still slightly shorthanded with Jonathan Kuminga still out, while the Mavericks are still without Anthony Davis and they have Dante Exum and PJ Washington both listed as questionable. The Warriors come in as clear favorites in this one as they’ve looked great in their past two wins, they are almost at full health and represent decent value as the slight favorite on the road. The Mavericks are capable of pulling off the upset, but with the line so short, I prefer a play on the Warriors with Curry coming fresh off a season-high 38 points in his last game.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Golden State -4.5

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