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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction 2-11-24 Picks

Boston Celtics (40-12) vs. Miami Heat (28-24)
February 11, 2024 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +5.5; Over/Under: +224.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Celtics look for a win after winning 5 of their last 6 games. The Miami Heat also look for a win after winning 4 of their last 5 games. Let’s preview this game and give out a Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat prediction.

Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics are coming off wins over the Grizzlies, Hawks, and Wizards. The Boston Celtics are averaging 120.6 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 111.1 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 27 points and 8.4 rebounds, while Jaylen Brown is averaging 22.1 points and 5.5 rebounds. Kristaps Porzingis is the third double-digit scorer and Derrick White is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 81.1 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.5 rebounds per game.

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Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat are coming off wins over the Magic and Spurs. The Miami Heat are averaging 110.5 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 110.8 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 21.4 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 20.9 points and 5.3 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Jaime Jaquez Jr. is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 82.2 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.1 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Team Facts

  • The Heat have won 14 of their last 15 day games at Kaseya Center following a home win.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as home underdogs.
  • Eight of the Heat’s last nine games as underdogs following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.

Boston Celtics Team Facts

  • The Celtics have won each of their last six games against Southeast Division opponents.
  • The road team has covered the spread in eight of the Celtics’ last nine games.
  • Each of the Celtics’ last four road games following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat prediction

The Boston Celtics are going to be favored for obvious reasons as they’ve been the more consistent team, but they’re also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games and the Heat have played them tight in past meetings. The Miami Heat also have this weird thing where they get up for the contenders but throw games against subpar opponents. The Heat are also enjoying one of their best stretches of the season, and it will be interesting to see if things continue. Either way, I find some value with the Heat and the free buckets. Give me the Heat.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat +5.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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