Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3-13-24 Picks

The Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat prediction.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets recently beat the Celtics, Jazz, and Raptors. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 115 points on 49.6 percent shooting and allowing 110.7 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 26.2 points and 12.3 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.2 points and 4 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 6.4 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 76.1 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat are coming off losses to the Mavericks, Thunder, and Wizards. The Miami Heat are averaging 110.5 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 109.9 points on 47 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 21.7 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 20.8 points and 5.3 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 81.4 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.1 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Team Facts

• The Heat have lost each of their last 10 games as home underdogs.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight home games against Northwest Division opponents.
• Eight of the Heat’s last nine games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.

Denver Nuggets Team Facts

• The Nuggets have won 14 of their last 15 night games against the Heat.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last six games at Kaseya Center.
• Each of the Nuggets’ last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat prediction

The Miami Heat have this weird thing where they don’t play with much motivation against subpar teams but get up for the contenders. So, it wouldn’t be shocking to see the Heat play well and win this game outright. With that said, the Heat don’t match up well with the Nuggets due to a lack of size. It doesn’t help that Kevin Love is still out. The Heat are also still missing the penetration that Herro provides, which clogs the offense against the Nuggets. The Nuggets have won 9 of the last 10 meetings against the Heat. I’ll lay the bucket with the Nuggets.