The Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat meet Wednesday in Game 3 of the NBA Finals at the Kaseya Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 115.2 points on 49.3 percent shooting and allowing 107.4 points on 46.9 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 30.4 points and 12.9 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 27 points and 5.4 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.2 percent from beyond the arc and 81.7 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat are averaging 110.7 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 107.3 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 27.3 points and 6.8 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 17.5 points and 9.4 rebounds. Gabe Vincent is the third double-digit scorer and Caleb Martin is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 39.2 percent from beyond the arc and 81 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.6 rebounds per game.

Trends

The Nuggets are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 2 days rest and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Heat are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games and 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Nuggets last 7 overall. The under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 overall. The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami and 26-10 ATS in the last 36 meetings.

Randy’s Pick

The Denver Nuggets continue to give the Heat wide open looks, and they actually made their shots in game 2 unlike game 1. The Nuggets now go on the road where they’re not as effective and actually lose on the year by an average of 2.1 points. There’s a chance Tyler Herro returns for the Heat as well, which is worth watching. The key here is what I’ve been saying all playoffs… The Heat are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 playoff games as an underdog. Eleven of those covers were SU wins. You make money backing the Heat in these spots time and time again. Give me the Heat.